Find Bank of Canada research by keyword, author, content type, JEL code, topic or date of publication.
Receive notification by email whenever new research is added to the website.
220
result(s)
Assessing global potential output growth: April 2024
Staff Analytical Note 2024-10
Amor Aniss Benmoussa,
Raheeb Dastagir,
Eshini Ekanayake,
Justin-Damien Guénette,
Helen Lao,
Jenna Rolland-Mills,
Aidan Spencer,
Lin Xiang
This note presents the annual update of Bank of Canada staff estimates for growth in global potential output. These estimates serve as key inputs to the analysis supporting the April 2024 Monetary Policy Report.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Potential output,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E2,
F,
F0,
O,
O4
Assessing the US and Canadian neutral rates: 2024 update
Staff Analytical Note 2024-9
Frida Adjalala,
Felipe Alves,
Hélène Desgagnés,
Wei Dong,
Dmitry Matveev,
Laure Simon
We assess both the US and Canadian nominal neutral rates to be in the range of 2.25% to 3.25%, somewhat higher than the range of 2.0% to 3.0% in 2023. The assessed range is back to the level it was at in April 2019.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E40,
E43,
E5,
E50,
E52,
E58,
F,
F4,
F41
Benchmarks for assessing labour market health: 2024 update
Staff Analytical Note 2024-8
Erik Ens,
Alexander Lam,
Kurt See,
Gabriela Galassi
We assess the health of the Canadian labour market. We find that it has seen gradual but material easing since 2023, amid some signs of structural changes.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Labour markets,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
J,
J2,
J3,
J6
Liquidity risks at Canadian life insurance companies
Staff Analytical Note 2024-7
Patrick Aldridge,
Stephane Gignac,
Rishi Vala,
Adrian Walton
We examine how life insurers manage liquidity risks created by their business model. We find that Canadian life insurers did not face significant liquidity draws and continued their usual investment behaviour during the COVID-19 crisis and as interest rates increased in 2022.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
D,
D4,
D47,
D5,
D53,
G,
G1,
G12,
G14,
G2,
G23
Pricing behaviour and inflation during the COVID-19 pandemic: Insights from consumer prices microdata
Staff Analytical Note 2024-6
Olga Bilyk,
Mikael Khan,
Olena Kostyshyna
Using the microdata underlying the Canadian consumer price index, we study how often and by how much firms changed their prices during the COVID-19 pandemic. We find that the surge in inflation was mainly associated with retailers raising prices much more often than before. We also find that more recently, corporate price-setting behaviour appears to be approaching pre-pandemic norms.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Firm dynamics,
Inflation and prices,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
D22,
E,
E3,
E31,
L,
L1,
L11
Measuring household financial stress in Canada using consumer surveys
Staff Analytical Note 2024-5
Nicolas Bédard,
Patrick Sabourin
We use data from the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations to understand how households are coping with high inflation and high interest rates. We build a subjective measure of financial stress and find that the level of stress is at a historical high but remains manageable for most households.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Domestic demand and components,
Financial stability,
Monetary policy transmission,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
D14,
G,
G5,
H,
H3
What has been putting upward pressure on CORRA?
Staff Analytical Note 2024-4
Boran Plong,
Neil Maru
From the autumn of 2023 into early 2024, the Canadian Overnight Repo Rate Average (CORRA), a measure of the cost of overnight general collateral Canadian dollar repos, was consistently well above the Bank’s target for the overnight rate. We find that, among several factors, long bond positions that require repo financing are the main driver of the recent upward pressure on CORRA.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Interest rates,
Lender of last resort,
Monetary policy implementation
JEL Code(s):
D,
D4,
D5,
D53,
E,
E4,
E43,
E44,
E5,
E52,
G,
G1,
G12
How changes in the share of constrained households affect the effectiveness of monetary policy
Staff Analytical Note 2024-3
Felipe Alves,
Sushant Acharya
We measure how the change in the share of constrained households in Canada following the COVID-19 recession has impacted the effectiveness of monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E21,
E4,
E40,
E5,
E50
Market structure of cryptoasset exchanges: Introduction, challenges and emerging trends
Staff Analytical Note 2024-2
Vladimir Skavysh,
Jacob Sharples,
Sofia Priazhkina,
Salman H. Hasham
This paper provides an overview of cryptoasset exchanges. We contrast their design with exchanges in traditional financial markets and discuss emerging regulatory trends and innovations aimed at solving the problems cryptoasset exchanges face.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G15,
L,
L1