Wei Dong is a Research Advisor in the Canadian Economic Analysis Department at the Bank of Canada. Her research interests are open economy macroeconomics and international finance. Wei received her PhD in economics from the University of Wisconsin, Madison.
We assess the Canadian nominal neutral rate to be in the range of 2.25% to 3.25%, unchanged from our assessment in 2025. We assess the US nominal neutral rate to be in the range of 2.50% to 3.50%, somewhat higher than the range of 2.25% to 3.25% reported in the 2025 assessment.
We assess both the US and Canadian nominal neutral rates to be in the range of 2.25% to 3.25%, somewhat higher than the range of 2.0% to 3.0% in 2023. The assessed range is back to the level it was at in April 2019.
We examine the macro implications of commodity price shocks in a model with multiple production sectors that are interconnected within a commodity-exporting small open economy.
Using highly disaggregated transaction-level trade data, we document the importance of new firm-level trade partner relationships and the addition of new products to existing relationships in driving aggregate trade flows.
Building on an earlier Review article, the authors critically reassess the premise that exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) has declined in light of recent studies of the issue in the context of a dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium framework.
“Production networks and the macroeconomic impacts of commodity price shocks”
(with Shutao Cao), Canadian Journal of Economics, May 2025, Volume 58, Issue 2, Pages 690-715.
“Trade flows and exchange rates: Importers, exporters and products”
(with Michael Devereux and Ben Tomlin), Journal of International Economics, March 2025, Volume 154, Article 104044.
"Credit Guarantee and Fiscal Costs"
(with Huixin Bi and Yongquan Cao), Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, February 2023, Volume 56, Issue 5, Pages 1203-1234.
“Importers and Exporters in Exchange Rate Pass-Through and Currency Invoicing” (with Michael Devereux and Ben Tomlin), Journal of International Economics, March 2017, Volume 105, Pages 187-204.
“Pricing-to-Market, Currency Invoicing and Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Producer Prices” (with Shutao Cao and Ben Tomlin), Journal of International Money and Finance, 58, November 2015: 128-149.
“Do Central Banks Respond to Exchange Rate Movements? Some New Evidence from Structural Estimation” Canadian Journal of Economics, 46(2), May 2013: 555-586.
“The Quantitative Importance of the Expenditure-Switching Effect” Open Economies Review, 24(2), 2013: 311-338.
“Exchange Rates and Individual Good's Price Misalignment: Evidence of Long-horizon Predictability” (with Deokwoo Nam), Journal of International Money and Finance, 32, February 2013: 611-636.
“The Role of Expenditure Switching in the Global Imbalance Adjustment” Journal of International Economics, 86(2), March 2012: 237-251.
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