Staff discussion papers are completed staff research studies on a wide variety of subjects relevant to central bank policy.
261
result(s)
Digitalization: Prices of Goods and Services
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-27
Vivian Chu,
Tatjana Dahlhaus,
Christopher Hajzler
This paper outlines and assesses the various channels through which digitalization can affect prices of goods and services.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Digitalization,
Inflation and prices,
Market structure and pricing,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
D,
D2,
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52,
L,
L1,
L11
Estimating the Appropriate Quantity of Settlement Balances in a Floor System
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-26
Narayan Bulusu,
Matthew McNeely,
Kaetlynd McRae,
Jonathan Witmer
This paper presents two complementary approaches to estimating the appropriate quantity of settlement balances needed to effectively operate monetary policy under a floor system in Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Monetary policy implementation,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E41,
E42,
E5,
E52,
E58,
G,
G2,
G21,
G28
An Overview of the Indigenous Economy in Canada
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-25
Alex Chernoff,
Calista Cheung
Several measures suggest economic outcomes have improved for Indigenous Peoples in recent decades. Yet, institutional settings and gaps in infrastructure and financing continue to hinder their economic progress. Recent efforts have helped address some data gaps, and new institutions are helping Indigenous communities to overcome historic barriers to growth.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Development economics,
Financial services,
Labour markets,
Monetary policy transmission,
Regional economic developments
JEL Code(s):
E,
E0,
E01,
E02,
N,
N4,
N41,
N42,
O,
O4,
O43,
P,
P4,
P48
Variations in Pass-Through from Global Agricultural Commodity Prices to Domestic Food Inflation
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-24
Daniel Hyun,
Jacky Lee
This paper examines factors that affect the transmission of fluctuations in global agricultural commodity prices to domestic food inflation.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
Q,
Q0,
Q02,
Q1,
Q11,
Q17,
Q18
A Blueprint for the Fourth Generation of Bank of Canada Projection and Policy Analysis Models
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-23
Donald Coletti
The fourth generation of Bank of Canada projection and policy analysis models seeks to improve our understanding of inflation dynamics, the supply side of the economy and the underlying risks faced by policy-makers coming from uncertainty about how the economy functions.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Inflation and prices,
Labour markets,
Monetary policy and uncertainty
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C50,
C51,
C52,
C53,
C54,
C55
Redefining Financial Inclusion for a Digital Age: Implications for a Central Bank Digital Currency
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-22
Alexandra Sutton-Lalani,
Sebastian Hernandez,
John Miedema,
Jiamin Dai,
Badr Omrane
We explore quantitative and qualitative information about Canadians who face barriers to making digital payments. We also consider the implications of ongoing digitalization for modern financial inclusion and a potential central bank digital currency.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Accessibility,
Bank notes,
Central bank research,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Digitalization,
Financial services
JEL Code(s):
A,
A1,
A14,
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E50,
I,
I3,
I31,
O,
O3,
O33,
O5,
O51
Predicting Changes in Canadian Housing Markets with Machine Learning
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-21
Johan Brannlund,
Helen Lao,
Maureen MacIsaac,
Jing Yang
We apply two machine learning algorithms to forecast monthly growth of house prices and existing homes sales in Canada. Although the algorithms can sometimes outperform a linear model, the improvement in forecast accuracy is not always statistically significant.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial markets,
Housing
JEL Code(s):
A,
C,
C4,
C45,
C5,
C53,
D,
D2,
R,
R2,
R3
Digitalization: Definition and Measurement
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-20
Guyllaume Faucher,
Stephanie Houle
This paper provides an overview of digitalization and its economic implications. We assess the scope of digitalization in Canada as well as the challenges related to its measurement.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Digitalization,
Potential output
JEL Code(s):
E,
E0,
E01,
O,
O3,
O33,
O5,
O51
Forecasting Risks to the Canadian Economic Outlook at a Daily Frequency
Staff Discussion Paper 2023-19
Chinara Azizova,
Bruno Feunou,
James Kyeong
This paper quantifies tail risks in the outlooks for Canadian inflation and real GDP growth by estimating their conditional distributions at a daily frequency. We show that the tail risk probabilities derived from the conditional distributions accurately reflect realized outcomes during the sample period from 2002 to 2022.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
C5,
C58,
E,
E4,
E44,
G,
G1,
G17