Bio

Eshini Ekanayake is a Senior Economist in the Overseas Economies Division of the International Economic Analysis Department. In this role she monitors, analyzes, and provides forecasts for emerging market economies. Prior to joining the Bank, Eshini worked as an Economic Analyst at the Asian Development Bank and as a Consultant at the World Bank. Eshini holds an MSc in Economic Policy from University College London (UCL).

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Staff analytical notes

Assessing global potential output growth and the US neutral rate: April 2022

Staff Analytical Note 2022-4 Kyle Boutilier, Thomas J. Carter, Xin Scott Chen, Eshini Ekanayake, Louis Poirier, Peter Shannon, Akash Uppal, Lin Xiang
We expect global potential output growth to increase from 2.7% in 2021 to 2.9% by 2024. Compared with the April 2021 assessment, global potential output growth is marginally slower. The current range for the US neutral rate is 2% to 3%, 0.25 percentage points higher than staff’s last assessment.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Topic(s): Interest rates, Monetary policy, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E1, E2, E4, E5, F, F0, O, O4

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