Julien Champagne is a Senior Economist in the Projection division of the Canadian Economic Analysis (CEA) Department. His research interests include monetary policy, labour markets, wages and compensation and applied macroeconomics. He holds a Ph.D. from the University of Quebec at Montreal (UQAM).
We study the revision properties of the Bank of Canada’s staff output gap estimates since the mid-1980s. Our results suggest that the average staff output gap revision has decreased significantly over the past 15 years, in line with recent evidence for the U.S.
In this analytical note, we provide a comprehensive assessment of the complex structural adjustment facing the Canadian economy following the commodity price decline since mid-2014. We quantify separately the impacts coming from the commodity sector restructuring and the broader effect of significantly lower terms of trade.
This paper considers a real business cycle model with labor search frictions where two types of incentive pay are explicitly introduced following the insights from the micro literature on performance pay (e.g. Lazear, 1986).