Julien Champagne

Senior Economist


Julien Champagne

Senior Economist
Canadian Economic Analysis

Bank of Canada
234 Laurier Avenue West
Ottawa, ON, K1A 0G9

Curriculum vitae


The Real-Time Properties of the Bank of Canada’s Staff Output Gap Estimates

We study the revision properties of the Bank of Canada’s staff output gap estimates since the mid-1980s. Our results suggest that the average staff output gap revision has decreased significantly over the past 15 years, in line with recent evidence for the U.S.

Reconciling the Differences in Aggregate U.S. Wage Series

Staff Working Paper 2016-1 Julien Champagne, André Kurmann, Jay Stewart
Average hourly real wage series from the Labor Productivity and Costs (LPC) program and the Current Employment Statistics (CES) program have evolved very differently over the past decades.

The Complex Adjustment of the Canadian Economy to Lower Commodity Prices

In this analytical note, we provide a comprehensive assessment of the complex structural adjustment facing the Canadian economy following the commodity price decline since mid-2014. We quantify separately the impacts coming from the commodity sector restructuring and the broader effect of significantly lower terms of trade.

The Carrot and the Stick: The Business Cycle Implications of Incentive Pay in the Labor Search Model

Staff Working Paper 2015-35 Julien Champagne
This paper considers a real business cycle model with labor search frictions where two types of incentive pay are explicitly introduced following the insights from the micro literature on performance pay (e.g. Lazear, 1986).

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Refereed journals

  • “The Great Increase in Relative Volatility of Real Wages in the United States.”
    (with A. Kurmann). Journal of Monetary Economics, vol. 60, No.2, p.166-183, (2013).


  • Ph.D., Economics, Université du Québec à Montréal,Thesis: “Changes in Labor Market Institutions, Performance-Pay, and Increased Wage Volatility in the U.S.” Advisor: Professor Andre Kurmann
  • M.Sc., Economics, Université du Québec à Montréal, Canada
  • B.Com, Finance, McGill University, Qu ébec, Canada

Research Interests

  • Labor market
  • Real wage cyclicality
  • Compensation schemes
  • Wage inequality
  • Business cycles


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