- Ph.D. in Economics: Paris School of Economics, University Paris-1 Pantheon Sorbonne
- M.A. in Economics: University Paris-1 Pantheon Sorbonne
- M.A. in Economics: National Research University Higher School of Economics
- B.S. in Economics: National Research University Higher School of Economics
Natalia Kyui is the Principal Economist in the Canadian Economic Analysis Department. Her research interests include labour economics, economics of education, applied econometrics, and applied microeconomics. Natalia holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Paris School of Economics, University Paris-1 Pantheon Sorbonne.
Staff analytical notes
Labour Force Participation: A Comparison of the United States and CanadaThis note explores the drivers behind the recent increase in the US participation rate in the labour market and assesses the likelihood of a similar gain in Canada. The growth in the US participation rate has largely been due to a pickup in the participation of prime-age workers following a post-recession decline.
Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity, Inflation and Unemployment: New Evidence Using Micro‐Level DataRecent evidence suggests that the extent of downward nominal wage rigidity (DNWR) in the Canadian labour market has risen following the 2008–09 recession (see Brouillette, Kostyshyna and Kyui 2016).
April 2017 Annual Reassessment of Potential Output Growth in CanadaThis note summarizes the Bank of Canada’s annual reassessment of potential output growth, conducted for the April 2017 Monetary Policy Report. Potential output growth is projected to increase from 1.3 per cent in 2017 to 1.6 per cent by 2020.
April 2016 Annual Reassessment of Potential Output in CanadaThis note summarizes the Bank of Canada’s 2016 annual reassessment of potential output growth, which is projected to be 1.5 per cent over 2016–18 and 1.6 per cent in 2019–20. This projection is weaker than the one presented in the April 2015 Monetary Policy Report.
Staff working papers
Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity in Canada: Evidence from Micro- Level DataWe assess the importance of downward nominal wage rigidity (DNWR) in Canada using both firm- and worker-level microdata. In particular, we analyze employer-level administrative data from the Major Wage Settlements (MWS) and household-based survey data from the Survey of Labour Income Dynamics (SLID).
Expansion of Higher Education, Employment and Wages: Evidence from the Russian TransitionThis paper analyzes the effects of an educational system expansion on labour market outcomes, drawing upon a 15-year natural experiment in the Russian Federation. Regional increases in student intake capacities in Russian universities, a result of educational reforms, provide a plausibly exogenous variation in access to higher education.
Bank of Canada Review articles
May 16, 2016
The Micro and Macro of Downward Nominal Wage RigidityThe article examines the extent of downward nominal wage rigidity in Canada and its implications for monetary policy. The authors ask whether its existence is a sufficient argument for a higher inflation target if concerns about the effective lower bound are adequately addressed.
The Economy, Plain and Simple
- “Expansion of higher education, employment and wages: Evidence from the Russian Transition”, Labour Economics, Volume 39, April 2016, Pages 68–87.