Labour markets

• March 26, 2024

  The productivity problem

  Speech summary Carolyn Rogers Halifax Partnership Halifax, Nova Scotia

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers talks about some of the reasons for Canada’s poor productivity track record, and what we can do to turn the tide.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Labour markets, Potential output, Productivity

• Third-Country Effects of U.S. Immigration Policy

  Staff Working Paper 2023-60 Agostina Brinatti, Xing Guo

  We study how the tightening of US immigration policy affects the Canadian economy and American workers. After the reduction in H-1B visa admissions in 2017, more immigrants came to Canada, and Canadian firms expanded their employment, sales and exports. The close trade link between the United States and Canada dampens the benefit American workers derive from this policy change.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): International topics, Labour markets, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration JEL Code(s): F, F1, F16, F2, F22, J, J6, J61
• December 15, 2023

  Lessons learned and looking ahead

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem Canadian Club Toronto Toronto, Ontario

  In his year-end remarks, Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how lessons learned from recent economic volatility are reshaping the way the Bank of Canada conducts economic analysis and communicates with the public.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Economic models, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation: costs and benefits, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability
• December 15, 2023

  The path to price stability

  Remarks Tiff Macklem Canadian Club Toronto Toronto, Ontario

  Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how the economy will continue to adjust to higher interest rates in the year ahead, and outlines what Canadians can expect from the Bank of Canada.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Economic models, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Inflation: costs and benefits, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability

• Assessing the effects of higher immigration on the Canadian economy and inflation

  Staff Analytical Note 2023-17 Julien Champagne, Erik Ens, Xing Guo, Olena Kostyshyna, Alexander Lam, Corinne Luu, Sarah Miller, Patrick Sabourin, Joshua Slive, Temel Taskin, Jaime Trujillo, Shu Lin Wee

  We assess the complex macroeconomic implications of Canada’s recent population increases. We find that newcomers significantly boost the non-inflationary, potential growth of the economy, but existing imbalances in the housing sector may be exacerbated. Greater housing supply is needed to complement the long-term economic benefits of population growth.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Housing, Inflation and prices, Labour markets, Potential output, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): A, A1, A10, E, E2, E20, E3, E31, J, J1, J11, J15
• December 7, 2023

  Economic progress report: Immigration, housing and the outlook for inflation

  Remarks Toni Gravelle Windsor–Essex Regional Chamber of Commerce Windsor, Ontario

  Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses the latest interest rate decision along with how immigration helps Canada’s economy and how it impacts inflation.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Housing, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Potential output, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
• December 7, 2023

  What population growth means for the economy and inflation

  Speech summary Toni Gravelle Windsor-Essex Regional Chamber of Commerce Windsor, Ontario

  Speaking a day after we decided to hold interest rates steady at 5%, Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses immigration, inflation and the role that newcomers play in helping our economy grow.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Housing, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Potential output, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments
• November 22, 2023

  Ending the pain of high inflation

  Remarks Tiff Macklem Saint John Region Chamber of Commerce Saint John, New Brunswick

  Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem explains how high inflation is hurting Canadians and how monetary policy is working to bring inflation back to target.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation: costs and benefits, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Price stability
• November 22, 2023

  Fighting to get back to low inflation

  Speech summary Tiff Macklem Saint John Region Chamber of Commerce Saint John, New Brunswick

  Governor Tiff Macklem outlines how high inflation is hurting Canadians and how monetary policy is working to bring it down. He also explains why the Bank of Canada must stay the course in its inflation fight.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Inflation: costs and benefits, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Price stability

• The Heterogeneous Impacts of Job Displacement: Evidence from Canadian Job Separation Records

  Staff Working Paper 2023-55 Serdar Birinci, Youngmin Park, Kurt See

  When estimating earnings losses upon job separations, existing strategies focus on separations in mass layoffs to distinguish involuntary separations from voluntary separations. We revisit the measurement of the sources and consequences of involuntary job separations using Canadian job separation records.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Labour markets, Potential output, Productivity JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, E3, E32, J, J3, J31, J6, J63, J65