Staff discussion papers are completed staff research studies on a wide variety of subjects relevant to central bank policy.
282
result(s)
Transition Scenarios for Analyzing Climate-Related Financial Risk
Staff Discussion Paper 2022-1
Y.-H. Henry Chen,
Erik Ens,
Olivier Gervais,
Hossein Hosseini,
Craig Johnston,
Serdar Kabaca,
Miguel Molico,
Sergey Paltsev,
Alex Proulx,
Argyn Toktamyssov
Climate transition scenarios clarify climate-related risks to our economy and financial system. This paper summarizes key results of Canada-relevant scenarios developed in a pilot project on climate risk by the Bank of Canada and the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Economic models,
Financial stability,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C68,
D,
D5,
D58,
E,
E5,
E50,
O,
O4,
O44,
P,
P1,
P18,
Q,
Q5,
Q54
Revisiting the Monetary Sovereignty Rationale for CBDCs
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-17
Skylar Brooks
One argument for central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) is that without them, private and foreign digital monies could displace domestic currencies, threatening the central bank’s monetary policy and lender of last resort capabilities. I revisit this monetary sovereignty rationale and offer a wider view—one that considers a broader set of currency functions and captures important cross-country variation.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Exchange rate regimes,
Financial stability,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E41,
E42,
E5,
E52,
E58,
H,
H1,
H12,
H6,
H63
Updated Methodology for Assigning Credit Ratings to Sovereigns
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-16
Karim McDaniels,
Nico Palesch,
Sanjam Suri,
Zacharie Quiviger,
John Walsh
We update the Bank of Canada’s credit rating methodology for sovereigns, including our approach to assessing their fiscal position and monetary policy flexibility. We also explicitly consider climate-related factors.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Credit risk management,
Foreign reserves management
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G2,
G24,
G28,
G3,
G32
Assessing Labour Market Slack for Monetary Policy
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-15
Erik Ens,
Laurence Savoie-Chabot,
Kurt See,
Shu Lin Wee
Measuring labour market slack is essential for central banks: without full employment in the economy, inflation will not stay close to target. We propose a comprehensive approach to assessing labour market slack that reflects the complexity and diversity of the labour market.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Econometric and statistical methods,
Labour markets,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E24,
J,
J2,
J21,
J6
Rising US LNG Exports and Global Natural Gas Price Convergence
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-14
Robert Ialenti
We assess how rising exports of US liquefied natural gas affect the convergence of natural gas prices worldwide. Our results may have implications for the development of future LNG export capacity in Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
International topics,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
F,
F1,
F15,
K,
K4,
K41,
L,
L9,
L95
The Bank of Canada’s “Horse Race” of Alternative Monetary Policy Frameworks: Some Interim Results from Model Simulations
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-13
José Dorich,
Rhys R. Mendes,
Yang Zhang
Bank of Canada staff are running a “horse race” of alternative monetary policy frameworks in the lead-up to 2021 renewal of the Bank’s monetary policy framework. This paper summarizes some interim results of model simulations from their research.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Economic models,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E27,
E3,
E4,
E5,
E52,
E58
Cash and COVID-19: The impact of the second wave in Canada
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-12
Heng Chen,
Walter Engert,
Marie-Hélène Felt,
Kim Huynh,
Gradon Nicholls,
Daneal O’Habib,
Julia Zhu
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly increased the demand for cash. Cash in circulation increased sharply from March through December 2020, particularly in the early months of this period. Although use of electronic methods of payment also increased significantly, cash use for payments remains high for low-value transactions and among certain demographic groups.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Central bank research,
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Digital currencies and fintech,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C12,
C9,
E,
E4,
O,
O5,
O54
The Positive Case for a CBDC
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-11
Andrew Usher,
Edona Reshidi,
Francisco Rivadeneyra,
Scott Hendry
We discuss the competition and innovation arguments for issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC). A CBDC could be an effective competition policy tool for payments. A CBDC could also support the vibrancy of the digital economy. It could help solve market failures and foster competition and innovation in new digital payments markets.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Financial institutions,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E58,
L,
L4,
L5
Sequencing Extended Monetary Policies at the Effective Lower Bound
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-10
Yang Zhang,
Lena Suchanek,
Jonathan Swarbrick,
Joel Wagner,
Tudor Schlanger
In this analysis, we use simulations in the Bank of Canada’s projection model—the Terms-of-Trade Economic Model—to consider a suite of extended monetary policies to support the economy following the COVID-19 crisis.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E4,
E5,
E52,
E58