March 3, 2022 Economic progress report: Controlling inflation Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem CFA Society Toronto Toronto, Ontario Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and what’s driving inflation in Canada. He also discusses how the Bank will manage the next step in the Bank’s balance sheet operations – quantitative tightening. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, International topics, Monetary aggregates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments, Sectoral balance sheet
March 3, 2022 Getting inflation back to target Speech summary Tiff Macklem CFA Society Toronto Toronto, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank of Canada’s decision yesterday to raise its policy interest rate. He explains that after two years of extraordinary stimulus, we are now on a path of rising interest rates. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Expectations, Inflation and prices, Interest rates, International topics, Monetary aggregates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Price stability, Recent economic and financial developments, Sectoral balance sheet
February 2, 2022 A Canadian interest rate benchmark regime for the future Remarks (delivered virtually) Toni Gravelle International Swaps and Derivatives Association New York, New York Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle discusses some important changes that may be coming to Canada’s interest rate benchmarks. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Debt management, Financial markets, Financial system regulation and policies, Interest rates, Market structure and pricing
December 9, 2021 Keeping our eyes on inflation Speech summary Toni Gravelle Surrey Board of Trade Surrey, British Columbia Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle talks about the Bank of Canada’s decision yesterday to leave the policy rate unchanged. He explains the link between supply bottlenecks and high inflation and why the Bank thinks both will ease over time. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Service sector
December 9, 2021 Economic progress report: A recovery unlike any other Remarks (delivered virtually) Toni Gravelle Surrey Board of Trade Surrey, British Columbia Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle provides an economic update and discusses the relationship between supply bottlenecks and inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Domestic demand and components, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Service sector
Democratic Political Economy of Financial Regulation Staff Working Paper 2021-59 Igor Livshits, Youngmin Park We offer a theory of how inefficiently lax financial regulation could arise in a democratic society. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Housing, Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, E44, G, G0, G01, G2, G21, G28, P, P4, P48
Discount Rates, Debt Maturity, and the Fiscal Theory Staff Working Paper 2021-58 Alexandre Corhay, Thilo Kind, Howard Kung, Gonzalo Morales Do bond risk premiums influence the effects of debt maturity operations? Using a model with realistic bond risk premiums, we show that maturity operations have sizable effects on expected inflation and output when the central bank passively responds to inflation and the fiscal authority weakly responds to the debt level. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Fiscal policy, Interest rates, Monetary policy JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, E44, E6, E63, G, G1, G12
November 23, 2021 Checking up on Canada’s financial system Speech summary Paul Beaudry Ontario Securities Commission Toronto, Ontario Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry speaks about the strength and resilience of the financial system throughout the COVID-19 pandemic and economic recovery. He also outlines key vulnerabilities and risks going forward. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Asset pricing, Central bank research, Climate change, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial institutions, Financial stability, Housing, Interest rates
November 23, 2021 Financial stability through the pandemic and beyond Remarks (delivered virtually) Paul Beaudry OSC Dialogue, Ontario Securities Commission Toronto, Ontario Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry provides an update on financial vulnerabilities and risks in Canada, including those stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Asset pricing, Central bank research, Climate change, Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial institutions, Financial stability, Housing, Interest rates
Evaluating the Effects of Forward Guidance and Large-scale Asset Purchases Staff Working Paper 2021-54 Xu Zhang I propose a novel method to identify and estimate the macroeconomic effects of forward guidance and large-scale asset purchases (LSAP) for each FOMC announcement. I find that LSAP is more important than forward guidance in influencing output and inflation. LSAP puts upward pressure on short-term yields, so it should always be used in conjunction with forward guidance. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Econometric and statistical methods, Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E5, G, G0