1833
result(s)
The Neutral Rate in Canada: 2019 Update
Staff Analytical Note 2019-11
Thomas J. Carter,
Xin Scott Chen,
José Dorich
This note provides an update on Bank of Canada staff’s assessment of the Canadian neutral rate. The neutral rate is the policy rate needed to keep output at its potential level and inflation at target once the effects of any cyclical shocks have dissipated. This medium- to long-run concept serves as a benchmark for gauging the degree of monetary stimulus provided by a given policy setting.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Analytical Notes
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Interest rates,
Monetary Policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E40,
E43,
E5,
E50,
E52,
E58,
F,
F4,
F41
Potential Output in Canada: 2019 Reassessment
Staff Analytical Note 2019-10
Dany Brouillette,
Julien Champagne,
Carol Khoury,
Natalia Kyui,
Jeffrey Mollins,
Youngmin Park
Potential output is expected to grow on average at 1.8 per cent over 2019–21 and at 1.9 per cent in 2022. While the contribution of trend labour input to potential output growth is expected to decrease between 2019 and 2022, the contribution of trend labour productivity is projected to increase.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Analytical Notes
Topic(s):
Labour markets,
Potential output,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
E,
E0,
E00,
E2,
E22,
E23,
E24,
E3,
E37,
E6
Could Canadian Bond Funds Add Stress to the Financial System?
Staff Analytical Note 2019-9
Rohan Arora,
Guillaume Bédard-Pagé,
Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc,
Ryan Shotlander
We create a hypothetical scenario to study the role bond funds play in intensifying shocks to the financial system. Using data from 2018 and 2007, we find that bond funds play a larger role now than they did in the past.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Analytical Notes
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G2,
G20,
G23
Labor Mobility in a Monetary Union
Staff Working Paper 2019-15
Daniela Hauser,
Martin Seneca
The optimal currency literature has stressed the importance of labor mobility as a precondition for the success of monetary unions. But only a few studies formally link labor mobility to macroeconomic adjustment and policy. In this paper, we study macroeconomic dynamics and optimal monetary policy in an economy with cyclical labor flows across two distinct regions that share trade links and a common monetary framework.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
Labour markets,
Monetary policy framework,
Regional economic developments
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E5,
E52,
F,
F4
Bond Funds and Fixed-Income Market Liquidity: A Stress-Testing Approach
Technical Report No. 115
Rohan Arora,
Guillaume Bédard-Pagé,
Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc,
Ryan Shotlander
This report provides a detailed technical description of a stress test model for investment funds called Ceto.
Content Type(s):
Technical Reports
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial Institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12,
G14,
G2,
G20,
G23
Firm-level Investment Under Imperfect Capital Markets in Ukraine
Staff Working Paper 2019-14
Oleksandr Shcherbakov
This paper develops and estimates a model of firm-level fixed capital investment when
firms face borrowing constraints.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Economic models,
Firm dynamics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C61,
C63,
D,
D2,
D24,
G,
G3,
G31
Global Commodity Markets and Rebalancing in China: The Case of Copper
Staff Discussion Paper 2019-3
Jeannine Bailliu,
Doga Bilgin,
Kun Mo,
Kurt Niquidet,
Benjamin Sawatzky
Given that China accounts for about half of global copper consumption, it is reasonable to expect that any significant change in Chinese copper consumption will have an impact on the global market.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Discussion Papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
O,
O1,
O13,
O14,
Q,
Q0,
Q02
The Trend Unemployment Rate in Canada: Searching for the Unobservable
Staff Working Paper 2019-13
Dany Brouillette,
Marie-Noëlle Robitaille,
Laurence Savoie-Chabot,
Pierre St-Amant,
Bassirou Gueye,
Elise Nelson
In this paper, we assess several methods that have been used to measure the Canadian trend unemployment rate (TUR). We also consider improvements and extensions to some existing methods.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
Inflation and prices,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C52,
C53,
E,
E2,
E24,
E27
Local Labor Markets in Canada and the United States
Staff Working Paper 2019-12
David Albouy,
Alex Chernoff,
Chandler Lutz,
Casey Warman
We examine local labor markets in the United States and Canada from 1990 to 2011 using comparable household and business data. Wage levels and inequality rise with city population in both countries, albeit less in Canada.
Non-Bank Financial Intermediation in Canada: An Update
Staff Discussion Paper 2019-2
Guillaume Bédard-Pagé
Non-bank financing provides an important funding source for the economy and is a valuable alternative to traditional banking. It helps enhance the efficiency and resiliency of the financial system while giving customers more choices for their financial services. Unlike banking, it is not prudentially regulated.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Discussion Papers
Topic(s):
Financial Institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
G,
G0,
G01,
G2,
G20,
G23