Credit risk management

• Composite Likelihood Estimation of an Autoregressive Panel Probit Model with Random Effects

  Staff Working Paper 2019-16 Kerem Tuzcuoglu

  Modeling and estimating persistent discrete data can be challenging. In this paper, we use an autoregressive panel probit model where the autocorrelation in the discrete variable is driven by the autocorrelation in the latent variable. In such a non-linear model, the autocorrelation in an unobserved variable results in an intractable likelihood containing high-dimensional integrals.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Credit risk management, Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models JEL Code(s): C, C2, C23, C25, C5, C58, G, G2, G24
• March 14, 2019

  The Age of Leverage

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins UBC Vancouver School of Economics and CFA Society Vancouver Vancouver, British Columbia

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses how high leverage is both a headwind to global growth and a vulnerability in the global financial system.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Credit risk management, Financial Institutions, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Fiscal Policy

• Macroprudential Policy with Capital Buffers

  Staff Working Paper 2019-8 Josef Schroth

  This paper studies optimal bank capital requirements in a model of endogenous bank funding conditions. I find that requirements should be higher during good times such that a macroprudential “buffer” is provided.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Credit and credit aggregates, Credit risk management, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Lender of last resort JEL Code(s): E, E1, E13, E3, E32, E4, E44

• Credit Risk Transfer and Bank Insolvency Risk

  Staff Working Paper 2017-59 Maarten van Oordt

  The present paper shows that, everything else equal, some transactions to transfer portfolio credit risk to third-party investors increase the insolvency risk of banks. This is particularly likely if a bank sells the senior tranche and retains a sufficiently large first-loss position.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Credit risk management, Financial Institutions, Financial stability JEL Code(s): G, G2, G21, G28, G3, G32

• Complementing the Credit Risk Assessment of Financial Counterparties with Market-Based Indicators

  Staff Analytical Note 2017-15 Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc, Maarten van Oordt

  The Bank’s internal credit risk assessment abilities are regularly enhanced. In this note, we present a recent innovation that extends the set of market-based indicators used in the credit risk assessment of financial counterparties.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Analytical Notes Topic(s): Credit risk management, Financial Institutions JEL Code(s): G, G1, G10, G2, G24

• Methodology for Assigning Credit Ratings to Sovereigns

  Staff Discussion Paper 2017-7 Philippe Muller, Jérôme Bourque

  The investment of foreign exchange reserves or other asset portfolios requires an assessment of the credit quality of investment counterparties. Traditionally, foreign exchange reserve and asset managers have relied on credit rating agencies (CRAs) as the main source for credit assessments.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Credit risk management, Foreign reserves management JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, G, G2, G24, G28, G3, G32

• Multilateral Development Bank Credit Rating Methodology: Overcoming the Challenges in Assessing Relative Credit Risk in Highly Rated Institutions Based on Public Data

  Staff Discussion Paper 2017-6 David Xiao Chen, Philippe Muller, Hawa Wagué

  The investment of foreign exchange reserves or other asset portfolios requires an assessment of the credit quality of counterparties. Traditionally, foreign exchange reserve managers and other investors have relied on credit rating agencies (CRAs) as the main source for credit assessments.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Credit risk management, Foreign reserves management JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, G, G2, G24, G28, G3, G32
• June 8, 2015

  Panel remarks for round table discussion at the 21st Conference of Montréal

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins 21st Conference of Montréal: International Economic Forum of the Americas Montréal, Quebec

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Credit risk management, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, International financial markets, International topics