
Geneviève Vallée
Economist
- M.A. (Economics) Carleton University (2017)
- B.Sc. (Mathematics and Economics) University of Ottawa (2016)
Staff analytical notes
Household financial vulnerabilities and physical climate risks
Natural disasters occur more often than before, potentially exposing households to financial distress. We study the intersection between household financial vulnerabilities and severe weather events.Household indebtedness risks in the wake of COVID‑19
COVID-19 presents challenges for indebted households. We assess these by drawing parallels between pandemics and natural disasters. Taking into account the financial health of the household sector when the pandemic began, we run model simulations to illustrate how payment deferrals and the labour market recovery will affect mortgage defaults.Staff working papers
We Didn’t Start the Fire: Effects of a Natural Disaster on Consumers’ Financial Distress
We use detailed consumer credit data to investigate the impact of the 2016 Fort McMurray wildfire, the costliest wildfire disaster in Canadian history, on consumers’ financial stress. We focus on the arrears of insured mortgages because of their important implications for financial institutions and insurers’ business risk and relevant management practices.How Long Does It Take You to Pay? A Duration Study of Canadian Retail Transaction Payment Times
Using an exclusive data set of payment times for retail transactions made in Canada, I show that cash is the most time-efficient method of payment (MOP) when compared with payments by debit and credit cards. I model payment efficiency using Cox proportional hazard models, accounting for consumer choice of MOP.Bank publications
Financial System Hub articles
September 24, 2021
Monitoring payment deferrals during the COVID-19 pandemic—update, July 2021
In the initial stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, Canada’s financial institutions allowed households to defer payments on a range of loans. With nearly all of these deferrals having expired, we provide a final update of how these loans have performed through to July 2021.
May 21, 2021
Monitoring payment deferrals during the COVID-19 pandemic—update, March 2021
In the initial stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, Canada’s financial institutions allowed households to defer payments on a range of loans. With most of these deferrals having expired, we present updated details of how these loans have performed through to March 2021.
February 4, 2021
Monitoring payment deferrals during the COVID-19 pandemic—update, December 2020
During the COVID-19 pandemic, Canada’s financial institutions have allowed households to defer payments on a range of loans. We present updated details of debt payment deferrals by borrowers through to December 2020.
November 23, 2020