Bio

Xiangjin Shen is a Senior Economist in the Financial Stability Department. Her policy work focus on the financial stability and macro-economic stress testing issues. Her current research interests include econometrics, monetary transmission mechanism, bank funding transfer pricing, stability of clearing agencies and tail risk. Before joining the Bank, Xiangjin worked as a Senior Manager in the Global Risk Management department at the Bank of Nova Scotia. Xiangjin received her PHD in Economics from the Rutgers University.

Research Fields: Financial Economics Money and Banking Time Series
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Staff Analytical Notes

Assessing the Resilience of the Canadian Banking System

Staff Analytical Note 2019-16 Charles Gaa, Xuezhi Liu, Cameron MacDonald, Xiangjin Shen
The stability of the Canadian financial system, as well as its ability to support the Canadian economy, depends on the ability of financial institutions to absorb and manage major shocks. This is especially true for large banks, which perform services essential to the Canadian economy.
Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Analytical Notes Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial stability JEL Code(s): C, C6, C63, E, E2, E27, E3, E37, E4, E44, G, G0, G01, G2, G21

Modelling the Macrofinancial Effects of a House Price Correction in Canada

Staff Analytical Note 2018-36 Thibaut Duprey, Xuezhi Liu, Cameron MacDonald, Maarten van Oordt, Sofia Priazhkina, Xiangjin Shen, Joshua Slive
We use a suite of risk-assessment models to examine the possible impact of a hypothetical house price correction, centred in the Toronto and Vancouver areas. We also assume financial stress significantly amplifies the macroeconomic impact of the house price decline.
Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Analytical Notes Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial stability, Housing JEL Code(s): E, E2, E27, E3, E37, E4, E44, G, G2, G21

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Staff Working Papers

Analysis of Asymmetric GARCH Volatility Models with Applications to Margin Measurement

Staff Working Paper 2018-21 Elena Goldman, Xiangjin Shen
We explore properties of asymmetric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models in the threshold GARCH (GTARCH) family and propose a more general Spline-GTARCH model, which captures high-frequency return volatility, low-frequency macroeconomic volatility as well as an asymmetric response to past negative news in both autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) and GARCH terms.
Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): C, C5, C58, G, G1, G19, G2, G23, G28

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Bank Publications

Financial System Hub

November 14, 2018

Financial System Resilience and House Price Corrections

Thibaut Duprey, Xuezhi Liu, Cameron MacDonald, Maarten van Oordt, Sofia Priazhkina, Xiangjin Shen, Joshua Slive, Virginie Traclet
We use models to better understand and assess how risks could affect the financial system. In our hypothetical scenario, a house price correction and elevated financial stress weigh on the economy. An increased number of households and businesses have difficulty repaying loans. Nonetheless, the large banks remain resilient.
Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Hub

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Journal Publications

Refereed journals

  • "Procyclicality Mitigation for Initial Margin Models with Asymmetric Volatility"
    (with Elena Goldman), Journal of Risk, 2020, 22(5): 1-41.
  • "Comparison of Bayesian Model Selection Criteria and Conditional Kolmogorov Test as Applied to Spot Asset Pricing Models"
    (with Hiroki Tsurumi), Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, 2013, 42(9):1599-1617.
  • "Does Aggregate School-Wide Achievement Mediate 5th Grade Outcome for Former Early Childhood Education Participants?"
    (with Stephanie Curenton and Nianbo Dong), Developmental Psychology, 2015, 51(7):921-934.