297
result(s)
The Effect of Mortgage Rate Resets on Debt: Evidence from TransUnion (Part I)
Staff Analytical Note 2020-2
Katya Kartashova
This note studies how decreases in mortgage rates affect the behaviour of borrowers in terms of spending on durable goods and repaying debt.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Analytical Notes
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Housing,
Interest rates,
Monetary Policy,
Transmission of monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
D12,
D14,
E,
E4,
E43,
E5,
E52,
G,
G2,
G21,
R,
R3,
R31
The Power of Helicopter Money Revisited: A New Keynesian Perspective
Staff Discussion Paper 2020-1
Thomas J. Carter,
Rhys R. Mendes
We analyze money financing of fiscal transfers (helicopter money) in two simple New Keynesian models: a “textbook” model in which all money is non-interest-bearing (e.g., all money is currency), and a more realistic model with interest-bearing reserves.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Discussion Papers
Topic(s):
Credibility,
Economic models,
Fiscal Policy,
Inflation targets,
Interest rates,
Monetary Policy,
Monetary policy framework,
Transmission of monetary policy,
Uncertainty and monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E12,
E4,
E41,
E43,
E5,
E51,
E52,
E58,
E6,
E61,
E63
Managing GDP Tail Risk
Staff Working Paper 2020-3
Thibaut Duprey,
Alexander Ueberfeldt
Models for macroeconomic forecasts do not usually take into account the risk of a crisis—that is, a sudden large decline in gross domestic product (GDP). However, policy-makers worry about such GDP tail risk because of its large social and economic costs.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Economic models,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Interest rates,
Monetary Policy,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52,
E58,
G,
G0,
G01
Changing Fortunes: Long-Termism—G-Zero, Artificial Intelligence and Debt
Staff Discussion Paper 2019-12
Stephen S. Poloz
This paper discusses three long-term forces that are acting on the global economy and their implications for companies and policy-makers.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Discussion Papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability,
International topics,
Monetary Policy,
Trade Integration,
Uncertainty and monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E6,
E63,
F,
F0,
F02,
F1,
F15,
F5,
F53,
F6,
H,
O,
O1,
O11,
O3,
O33
Technological Progress and Monetary Policy: Managing the Fourth Industrial Revolution
Staff Discussion Paper 2019-11
Stephen S. Poloz
This paper looks at the implications for monetary policy of the widespread adoption of artificial intelligence and machine learning, which is sometimes called the “fourth industrial revolution.”
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Discussion Papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial stability,
Monetary policy framework,
Uncertainty and monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
E,
E3,
O,
O1,
O11,
O3,
O33
A Comprehensive Evaluation of Measures of Core Inflation in Canada: An Update
Staff Discussion Paper 2019-9
Helen Lao,
Ceciline Steyn
We provide an updated evaluation of the value of various measures of core inflation that could be used in the conduct of monetary policy. We find that the Bank of Canada’s current preferred measures of core inflation—CPI-trim, CPI-median and CPI-common—continue to outperform alternative core measures across a range of criteria.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Discussion Papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52
The Effects of Inflation Targeting for Financial Development
Staff Analytical Note 2019-21
Geoffrey R. Dunbar,
Amy (Qijia) Li
The adoption of inflation targeting (IT) by central banks leads to an increase of 10 to 20 percent in measures of financial development, with a lag. We also find evidence that the financial sector benefits of IT adoption were higher for early-adopting central banks.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Analytical Notes
Topic(s):
Financial Institutions,
Inflation targets,
Transmission of monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E58
Central Bank Communication That Works: Lessons from Lab Experiments
Staff Working Paper 2019-21
Oleksiy Kryvtsov,
Luba Petersen
We use controlled laboratory experiments to test the causal effects of central bank communication on economic expectations and to distinguish the underlying mechanisms of those effects. In an experiment where subjects learn to forecast economic variables, we find that central bank communication has a stabilizing effect on individual and aggregate outcomes and that the size of the effect varies with the type of communication.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Monetary policy implementation,
Transmission of monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
C,
C9,
D,
D8,
D84,
E,
E3,
E5,
E52
Central Bank Digital Currency and Banking
Staff Working Paper 2019-20
Jonathan Chiu,
Mohammad Davoodalhosseini,
Janet Hua Jiang,
Yu Zhu
Many central banks are considering whether to issue a new form of electronic money that would be accessible to the public. This new form is usually called a central bank digital currency (CBDC). Issuing a CBDC would have implications for the financial system and, more broadly, the wider economy.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Digital Currencies and Fintech,
Market structure and pricing,
Monetary Policy,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E50,
E58
Labor Mobility in a Monetary Union
Staff Working Paper 2019-15
Daniela Hauser,
Martin Seneca
The optimal currency literature has stressed the importance of labor mobility as a precondition for the success of monetary unions. But only a few studies formally link labor mobility to macroeconomic adjustment and policy. In this paper, we study macroeconomic dynamics and optimal monetary policy in an economy with cyclical labor flows across two distinct regions that share trade links and a common monetary framework.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models,
Labour markets,
Monetary policy framework,
Regional economic developments
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E5,
E52,
F,
F4