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91
result(s)
Consumer Credit with Over-optimistic Borrowers
Staff Working Paper 2020-57
Florian Exler,
Igor Livshits,
James (Jim) C. MacGee,
Michèle Tertilt
When lenders cannot directly identify behavioural and rational borrowers, they use type scoring to track the likelihood of a borrower’s type. This leads to the partial pooling of borrowers, which results in rational borrowers subsidizing borrowing costs for behavioural borrowers. This, in turn, reduces the effectiveness of regulatory policies that target mistakes by behavioural borrowers.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Credit risk management,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E21,
E4,
E49,
G,
G1,
G18,
K,
K3,
K35
Interbank Asset-Liability Networks with Fire Sale Management
Staff Working Paper 2020-41
Zachary Feinstein,
Grzegorz Halaj
Raising liquidity when funding is stressed creates pressure on the financial market. Liquidating large quantities of assets depresses their prices and may amplify funding shocks. How do banks weathering a funding crisis contribute to contagion risk?
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C62,
C63,
C7,
C72,
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G11
Predicting Payment Migration in Canada
Staff Working Paper 2020-37
Anneke Kosse,
Zhentong Lu,
Gabriel Xerri
Developments are underway to replace Canada’s two core payment systems with three new systems. We use a discrete choice model to predict migration patterns of end-users and financial institutions for future systems and discuss their policy implications.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial services,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
E,
E4,
E42,
G,
G1,
G2,
G28
Monetary Policy Independence and the Strength of the Global Financial Cycle
Staff Working Paper 2020-25
Christian Friedrich,
Pierre Guérin,
Danilo Leiva-Leon
We propose a new strength measure of the global financial cycle by estimating a regime-switching factor model on cross-border equity flows for 61 countries. We then assess how the strength of the global financial cycle affects monetary policy independence, which is defined as the response of central banks' policy interest rates to exogenous changes in inflation.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Exchange rate regimes,
Financial system regulation and policies,
International financial markets,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E5,
F,
F3,
F32,
F4,
F42,
G,
G1,
G15,
G18
An Economic Perspective on Payments Migration
Staff Working Paper 2020-24
Anneke Kosse,
Zhentong Lu,
Gabriel Xerri
Consumers, businesses and banks make millions of payments each day using a variety of instruments, such as debit cards, cheques and wires. Canada is currently developing three new systems to process these transactions: Lynx, Settlement Optimization Engine (SOE) and Real-Time Rail (RTR).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial services,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
G,
G2,
G21
Trading for Bailouts
Staff Working Paper 2020-23
Toni Ahnert,
Caio Machado,
Ana Elisa Pereira
In times of high uncertainty, governments often implement interventions such as bailouts to financial institutions. To use public resources efficiently and to avoid major spillovers to the rest of the economy, policy-makers try to identify which institutions should receive assistance.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Lender of last resort
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D83,
G,
G1,
G12,
G14,
G18
Optimal Taxation in Asset Markets with Adverse Selection
Staff Working Paper 2020-11
Mohammad Davoodalhosseini
What is the optimal tax schedule in over-the-counter markets, e.g., those for corporate bonds? I find that an optimal tax schedule is often non-monotonic. For example, trading of some high-price assets should be subsidized, and trading of some low-price assets should be taxed.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D82,
D83,
E,
E2,
E24,
G,
G1,
G10,
J,
J3,
J31,
J6,
J64
Managing GDP Tail Risk
Staff Working Paper 2020-3
Thibaut Duprey,
Alexander Ueberfeldt
Models for macroeconomic forecasts do not usually take into account the risk of a crisis—that is, a sudden large decline in gross domestic product (GDP). However, policy-makers worry about such GDP tail risk because of its large social and economic costs.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Economic models,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52,
E58,
G,
G0,
G01
Loan Insurance, Market Liquidity, and Lending Standards
Staff Working Paper 2019-47
Toni Ahnert,
Martin Kuncl
We examine loan insurance—credit risk transfer upon origination—in a model in which lenders can screen, learn loan quality over time, and can sell loans. Some lenders with low screening ability insure, benefiting from higher market liquidity of insured loans while forgoing the option to exploit future information about loan quality.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
G,
G0,
G01,
G2,
G21,
G28