Tatjana Dahlhaus

Principal Researcher

Tatjana Dahlhaus is a Principal Researcher in the International Economic Analysis Department at the Bank of Canada. Her research interests lie in the fields of applied Macroeconomics and Econometrics. Currently, she focuses on studying the transmission of monetary policy in linear as well as non-linear environments. Tatjana received her PhD in Economics from Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Spain.


Principal Researcher
International Economic Analysis
Emerging Markets Division

Bank of Canada
234 Wellington Street
Ottawa, ON, K1A 0G9

Curriculum vitae


Assessing Vulnerabilities in Emerging-Market Economies

Staff Discussion Paper 2018-13 Tatjana Dahlhaus, Alexander Lam
This paper introduces a new tool to monitor economic and financial vulnerabilities in emerging-market economies. We obtain vulnerability indexes for several early warning indicators covering 26 emerging markets from 1990 to 2017 and use them to monitor the evolution of vulnerabilities before, during and after an economic or financial crisis.

Monetary Policy Uncertainty: A Tale of Two Tails

Staff Working Paper 2018-50 Tatjana Dahlhaus, Tatevik Sekhposyan
We document a strong asymmetry in the evolution of federal funds rate expectations and map this observed asymmetry into measures of monetary policy uncertainty. We show that periods of monetary policy tightening and easing are distinctly related to downside (policy rate is higher than expected) and upside (policy rate is lower than expected) uncertainty.

Noisy Monetary Policy

Staff Working Paper 2018-23 Tatjana Dahlhaus, Luca Gambetti
We introduce limited information in monetary policy. Agents receive signals from the central bank revealing new information (“news") about the future evolution of the policy rate before changes in the rate actually take place. However, the signal is disturbed by noise.

Nowcasting BRIC+M in Real Time

Emerging-market economies have become increasingly important in driving global GDP growth over the past 10 to 15 years. This has made timely and accurate assessment of current and future economic activity in emerging markets important for policy-makers not only in these countries but also in advanced economies.

The Impact of U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization on Capital Flows to Emerging-Market Economies

Staff Working Paper 2014-53 Tatjana Dahlhaus, Garima Vasishtha
The Federal Reserve’s path for withdrawal of monetary stimulus and eventually increasing interest rates could have substantial repercussions for capital flows to emerging-market economies (EMEs).

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Refereed Journals

  • “Nowcasting the BRIC+M in Real Time"
    (with Justin-Damien Guenette and Garima Vasishtha), International Journal of Forecasting, forthcoming.
  • “International Transmission Channels of U.S. Quantitative Easing: Evidence from Canada"
    (with Kristina Hess and Abeer Reza), Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, forthcoming.
  • "Conventional Monetary Policy Transmission during Financial Crises: An Empirical Analysis"
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, Volume 32, Issue 2, pp. 401-421, March 2017.
  • "Key Features and Determinants of Credit-less Recoveries"
    (with Martin Bijsterbosch), Empirical Economics, Volume 49, Issue 4, pp. 1245-1269, 2015.

Other Publications

  • “Determinants of Credit-less Recoveries”
    (with Martin Bijsterbosch), ECB Working Paper No. 1358, June 2011.


  • Ph.D., Economics, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona, Spain, 2013
  • M.Sc., Econometrics, University of Maastricht, the Netherlands, 2007
  • B.Sc., Econometrics and Operations Research, University of Maastricht, the Netherlands, 2006

Research Interests

  • Quantitative and Applied Macroeconomics
  • Time Series and Panel Data Analysis
  • Bayesian Econometrics

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