January 16, 2025 Back to normal for the balance sheet Speech summary Toni Gravelle VersaFi (formerly Women in Capital Markets) Toronto, Ontario Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle provides an update on when quantitative tightening will end and explains how the Bank of Canada will manage its balance sheet going forward. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Recent economic and financial developments
January 16, 2025 The end of quantitative tightening and what comes next Remarks Toni Gravelle VersaFi (formerly Women in Capital Markets) Toronto, Ontario Deputy Governor Toni Gravelle provides an update on when quantitative tightening will end and how the Bank of Canada will manage its balance sheet after that. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Recent economic and financial developments
Preferences, Monetary Policy and Household Inflation Staff Working Paper 2024-45 Geoffrey R. Dunbar I quantify the importance of changes in household preferences on household inflation rates using 11 years of scanner data for 11,000 US households. My results suggest that changes in household preferences are an important driver of inflation dynamics at the household level. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): D, D1, D12, E, E5, E52, E58
How Do Households Respond to Expected Inflation? An Investigation of Transmission Mechanisms Staff Working Paper 2024-44 Janet Hua Jiang, Rupal Kamdar, Kelin Lu, Daniela Puzzello We conduct surveys to study how consumer spending responds to higher inflation expectations. Most respondents spend the same, sticking to fixed budget plans or not considering inflation for spending decisions. About 20% decrease spending because they feel poorer and cut spending to invest in inflation-proof assets. Very few increase spending. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Central bank research, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): D, D1, D15, D8, D84, E, E2, E5, E52, E7
November 6, 2024 Canada’s mortgage market—A question of balance Remarks Carolyn Rogers Economic Club of Canada Toronto, Ontario Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers looks at the mortgage market in Canada—past, present and future. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial services, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Housing, Monetary policy transmission
November 6, 2024 Finding balance in the mortgage market Speech summary Carolyn Rogers Economic Club of Canada Toronto, Ontario Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers talks about Canada’s mortgage market and how it has evolved over time. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial services, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Housing, Monetary policy transmission
Monetary Policy Transmission amid Demand Reallocations Staff Working Paper 2024-42 Julien Bengui, Lu Han, Gaelan MacKenzie We analyze the transmission of monetary policy during different phases of a sectoral demand reallocation episode when there are frictions to increasing production in a sector. Monetary policy is more effective in reducing inflation when a larger proportion of sectors are expanding or expect to expand in the near future. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E1, E12, E2, E24, E3, E31, E5, E52
Monetary Policy Transmission to Small Business Loan Performance: Evidence from Loan-Level Data Staff Working Paper 2024-41 Rodrigo Sekkel, Tamon Takamura, Yaz Terajima We analyze the dynamic and heterogeneous responses of small-business loan performance to a monetary-policy shock using loan-level data in Canada. We find evidence of monetary policy transmission through the cash-flow channel and the aggregate demand channel as well as some, though limited, impact of collateral to discipline loan repayment. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Firm dynamics, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E1, E17, E3, E37, E5, E52
From Micro to Macro Hysteresis: Long-Run Effects of Monetary Policy Staff Working Paper 2024-39 Felipe Alves, Giovanni L. Violante We explore the long-run effects of a monetary policy shock in a Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian model built on the micro evidence that job losses lead to persistently lower individual earnings through a combination of skill decay and abandonment of the labour force. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Labour markets, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E2, E21, E24, E3, E31, E32, E5, E52, J, J2, J24, J6, J64
September 19, 2024 Monetary policy decision-making: Behind the scenes Remarks Nicolas Vincent Sherbrooke Chamber of Commerce and Industry Sherbrooke, Quebec External Deputy Governor Nicolas Vincent gives a behind the scenes look at the rigorous research, analysis and debate that go into every monetary policy decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances Topic(s): Central bank research, Credibility, Economic models, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission