Staff discussion papers are completed staff research studies on a wide variety of subjects relevant to central bank policy.
270
result(s)
Updated Methodology for Assigning Credit Ratings to Sovereigns
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-16
Karim McDaniels,
Nico Palesch,
Sanjam Suri,
Zacharie Quiviger,
John Walsh
We update the Bank of Canada’s credit rating methodology for sovereigns, including our approach to assessing their fiscal position and monetary policy flexibility. We also explicitly consider climate-related factors.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Credit risk management,
Foreign reserves management
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G2,
G24,
G28,
G3,
G32
Assessing Labour Market Slack for Monetary Policy
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-15
Erik Ens,
Laurence Savoie-Chabot,
Kurt See,
Shu Lin Wee
Measuring labour market slack is essential for central banks: without full employment in the economy, inflation will not stay close to target. We propose a comprehensive approach to assessing labour market slack that reflects the complexity and diversity of the labour market.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Econometric and statistical methods,
Labour markets,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E24,
J,
J2,
J21,
J6
Rising US LNG Exports and Global Natural Gas Price Convergence
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-14
Robert Ialenti
We assess how rising exports of US liquefied natural gas affect the convergence of natural gas prices worldwide. Our results may have implications for the development of future LNG export capacity in Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
International topics,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
F,
F1,
F15,
K,
K4,
K41,
L,
L9,
L95
The Bank of Canada’s “Horse Race” of Alternative Monetary Policy Frameworks: Some Interim Results from Model Simulations
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-13
José Dorich,
Rhys R. Mendes,
Yang Zhang
Bank of Canada staff are running a “horse race” of alternative monetary policy frameworks in the lead-up to 2021 renewal of the Bank’s monetary policy framework. This paper summarizes some interim results of model simulations from their research.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Economic models,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E27,
E3,
E4,
E5,
E52,
E58
Cash and COVID-19: The impact of the second wave in Canada
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-12
Heng Chen,
Walter Engert,
Marie-Hélène Felt,
Kim Huynh,
Gradon Nicholls,
Daneal O’Habib,
Julia Zhu
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly increased the demand for cash. Cash in circulation increased sharply from March through December 2020, particularly in the early months of this period. Although use of electronic methods of payment also increased significantly, cash use for payments remains high for low-value transactions and among certain demographic groups.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Central bank research,
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Digital currencies and fintech,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C12,
C9,
E,
E4,
O,
O5,
O54
The Positive Case for a CBDC
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-11
Andrew Usher,
Edona Reshidi,
Francisco Rivadeneyra,
Scott Hendry
We discuss the competition and innovation arguments for issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC). A CBDC could be an effective competition policy tool for payments. A CBDC could also support the vibrancy of the digital economy. It could help solve market failures and foster competition and innovation in new digital payments markets.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Digital currencies and fintech,
Financial institutions,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E58,
L,
L4,
L5
Sequencing Extended Monetary Policies at the Effective Lower Bound
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-10
Yang Zhang,
Lena Suchanek,
Jonathan Swarbrick,
Joel Wagner,
Tudor Schlanger
In this analysis, we use simulations in the Bank of Canada’s projection model—the Terms-of-Trade Economic Model—to consider a suite of extended monetary policies to support the economy following the COVID-19 crisis.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E4,
E5,
E52,
E58
Measuring and Evaluating Strategic Communications at the Bank of Canada
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-9
Annie Portelance
The Bank of Canada’s Communications Department has developed a framework to quantify and qualify the Bank’s communications efforts and their results. Using data-based measurement and evaluation, the department can assess the impact of the Bank’s communications activities and gauge the department’s contribution to the Bank’s overall goals.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Credibility,
Monetary policy communications
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D83
An Exploration of First Nations Reserves and Access to Cash
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-8
Heng Chen,
Walter Engert,
Kim Huynh,
Daneal O’Habib
Adequate cash distribution is one the Bank of Canada’s core interests. Canadians’ ability to access cash influences the Bank’s thinking on issuing a central bank digital currency. We provide a perspective on these issues by exploring access of First Nations reserves to cash.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Bank notes,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Financial institutions,
Financial services,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E41,
E42,
E5,
G,
G2,
G21