214
result(s)
BoC-BoE Sovereign Default Database: What’s New in 2020?
Staff Analytical Note 2020-13
David Beers,
Elliot Jones,
John Walsh
The Boc–BoE database of sovereign debt defaults, published and updated annually by the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, provides comprehensive estimates of stocks of government obligations in default. The 2020 edition includes a new section examining the scale of domestic arrears in 2018.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Analytical Notes
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Development economics,
Financial stability,
International financial markets
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F34,
G,
G1,
G10,
G14,
G15
Monetary Policy Independence and the Strength of the Global Financial Cycle
Staff Working Paper 2020-25
Christian Friedrich,
Pierre Guérin,
Danilo Leiva-Leon
We propose a new strength measure of the global financial cycle by estimating a regime-switching factor model on cross-border equity flows for 61 countries. We then assess how the strength of the global financial cycle affects monetary policy independence, which is defined as the response of central banks' policy interest rates to exogenous changes in inflation.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Exchange rate regimes,
Financial system regulation and policies,
International financial markets,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E5,
F,
F3,
F32,
F4,
F42,
G,
G1,
G15,
G18
An Economic Perspective on Payments Migration
Staff Working Paper 2020-24
Anneke Kosse,
Zhentong Lu,
Gabriel Xerri
Consumers, businesses and banks make millions of payments each day using a variety of instruments, such as debit cards, cheques and wires. Canada is currently developing three new systems to process these transactions: Lynx, Settlement Optimization Engine (SOE) and Real-Time Rail (RTR).
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Financial services,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
G,
G2,
G21
Trading for Bailouts
Staff Working Paper 2020-23
Toni Ahnert,
Caio Machado,
Ana Elisa Pereira
In times of high uncertainty, governments often implement interventions such as bailouts to financial institutions. To use public resources efficiently and to avoid major spillovers to the rest of the economy, policy-makers try to identify which institutions should receive assistance.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Lender of last resort
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D83,
G,
G1,
G12,
G14,
G18
Household indebtedness risks in the wake of COVID‑19
Staff Analytical Note 2020-8
Olga Bilyk,
Anson T. Y. Ho,
Mikael Khan,
Geneviève Vallée
COVID-19 presents challenges for indebted households. We assess these by drawing parallels between pandemics and natural disasters. Taking into account the financial health of the household sector when the pandemic began, we run model simulations to illustrate how payment deferrals and the labour market recovery will affect mortgage defaults.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Analytical Notes
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Credit and credit aggregates,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability,
Fiscal policy,
Housing,
Recent economic and financial developments,
Sectoral balance sheet
JEL Code(s):
C,
C2,
C21,
D,
D1,
D12,
D14,
E,
E2,
E24,
E27,
E6,
E62,
G,
G2,
G21,
G28,
R,
R2
Canadian Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Conditions
Staff Discussion Paper 2020-4
Thibaut Duprey
Severe disruptions in the financial markets, as observed during the 2008 global financial crisis or the COVID-19 pandemic, can impair the stability of the entire financial system and worsen macroeconomic downturns.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Discussion Papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Monetary and financial indicators
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C32,
E,
E4,
E44,
G,
G0,
G01
Scenario Analysis and the Economic and Financial Risks from Climate Change
Staff Discussion Paper 2020-3
Erik Ens,
Craig Johnston
This paper adapts climate-economy models that have been applied in other contexts for use in climate-related scenario analysis. We consider illustrative scenarios for the global economy that could generate economic and financial risks. Our results suggest there are significant economic risks from climate change and the move to a low-carbon economy.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Discussion Papers
Topic(s):
Climate change,
Economic models,
Financial stability,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C68,
D,
D5,
D58,
E,
E5,
E50,
O,
O4,
O44,
P,
P1,
P18,
Q,
Q4,
Q5,
Q54,
Q55
Optimal Taxation in Asset Markets with Adverse Selection
Staff Working Paper 2020-11
Mohammad Davoodalhosseini
What is the optimal tax schedule in over-the-counter markets, e.g., those for corporate bonds? I find that an optimal tax schedule is often non-monotonic. For example, trading of some high-price assets should be subsidized, and trading of some low-price assets should be taxed.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D82,
D83,
E,
E2,
E24,
G,
G1,
G10,
J,
J3,
J31,
J6,
J64
A Financial Stability Analysis of Zombie Firms in Canada
Staff Analytical Note 2020-3
Timothy Grieder,
Juan Ortega
We measure the prevalence of zombie firms in Canada and assess how they could potentially affect the financial system.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Analytical Notes
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Sectoral balance sheet
JEL Code(s):
G,
G3,
G32