This analytical note evaluates the reliability of proxies for measuring liquidity in Canadian bond markets. We find that price-impact and bid-ask proxies paint a similar picture of evolving liquidity conditions to that obtained from richer measures of liquidity for benchmark Government of Canada bonds.
Jeffrey Gao is a Senior Analyst in the Banking and Payments Department (BAP) at the Bank of Canada.
Staff analytical notes
Staff working papers
The Impact of Government Debt Supply on Bond Market Liquidity: An Empirical Analysis of the Canadian MarketThis paper finds that Government of Canada benchmark bonds tend to be more illiquid over the subsequent month when there is a large increase in government debt supply. The result is both statistically and economically significant, stronger for the long-term than the short-term sector, and is robust when other macro factors are controlled for.
Open source projects
- Canadian Debt Strategy Model code on GitHub