Serdar Kabaca is a Principal Researcher in the International Economic Analysis Department. He is a macroeconomist whose primary research interest include business cycle fluctuations in small open economies, and policy spillovers from large systemic economies. He is currently working on the spillover effects of unconventional monetary policies and capital flows in portfolio rebalancing models. His current research also includes the interaction between labor and financial markets in emerging market economies. He holds a Ph.D from University of British Columbia.
Staff discussion papers
Climate transition scenarios clarify climate-related risks to our economy and financial system. This paper summarizes key results of Canada-relevant scenarios developed in a pilot project on climate risk by the Bank of Canada and the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions.
Staff working papers
This paper examines the cross-border spillovers from major economies’ quantitative easing (QE) policies to their trading partners. We concentrate on spillovers from the US to Canada during the zero lower bound period when QE policies were actively used.
This paper studies the effects of foreign exchange (FX) interventions in a two-region model where governments issue both short- and long-term bonds. We find that the term premium channel dominates the trade balance channel in our calibrated model. As a result, the conventional beggar-thy-neighbor effects of interventions are overturned.
How should a central bank conduct quantitative easing (QE) in a monetary union when regions differ in their size and portfolio characteristics? Optimal QE policy suggests allocating greater purchases from the region that faces stronger portfolio frictions, and not necessarily according to each region’s size.
This paper studies the effects of quantitative easing (QE) in a small open economy dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model with international portfolio balancing. Portfolios are classified as imperfectly substitutable short-term and long-term subportfolios, each including domestic and foreign bonds.
This paper evaluates the international spillover effects of large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) using a two-country dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model with nominal and real rigidities, and portfolio balance effects.
This paper contributes to the literature by documenting labour income share fluctuations in emerging-market economies and proposing an explanation for them. Time-series data indicate that emerging markets differ from developed markets in terms of changes in the labour share over the business cycle.
This paper examines the role of the extensive and intensive margins of labour input in the context of a business cycle model with a financial friction. We document significant variation in the hours worked per worker for many emerging-market economies. Both employment and hours worked per worker are positively correlated with each other and with output.
- "International Spillovers of Large-Scale Asset Purchases"
(with Sami Alpanda), Journal of the European Economic Association, Volume 18, Issue 1, pages 342–391, 2020.
- "Search Frictions, Financial Frictions, and Labor Market Fluctuations in Emerging Markets"
(with Sumru Altug), Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Volume 53, Issue 1, pages 128-149, 2017.
- "Labor Share Fluctuations in Emerging Markets : The Role of the Cost of Borrowing"