Exchange rate regimes

• Policy Rules for Capital Controls

  Staff Working Paper 2017-42 Gurnain Pasricha

  This paper attempts to borrow the tradition of estimating policy reaction functions in monetary policy literature and apply it to capital controls policy literature. Using a novel weekly dataset on capital controls policy actions in 21 emerging economies over the period 1 January 2001 to 31 December 2015, I examine the mercantilist and macroprudential motivations for capital control policies.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Exchange rate regimes, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F4, F5, G, G0, G1

• Changes in Monetary Regimes and the Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks: Narrative Evidence from Canada

  Staff Working Paper 2017-39 Julien Champagne, Rodrigo Sekkel

  We use narrative evidence along with a novel database of real-time data and forecasts from the Bank of Canada's staff economic projections from 1974 to 2015 to construct a new measure of monetary policy shocks and estimate the effects of monetary policy in Canada.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Econometric and statistical methods, Exchange rate regimes, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary Policy, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E32, E4, E43, E5, E52, E58

• March 28, 2017 Canada at 150: It Takes a World to Raise a Nation

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz 50th Anniversary of Durham College Oshawa, Ontario

  Governor Stephen S. Poloz shows how Canada’s economic progress has been driven by its historic preference for openness to immigration, investment and trade.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Exchange rate regimes, International financial markets, Productivity, Trade Integration

• What to Expect When China Liberalizes Its Capital Account

  Staff Discussion Paper 2016-10 Mark Kruger, Gurnain Pasricha

  When China joined the World Trade Organization in December 2001, it marked a watershed for the world economy. Ten years from now, the opening of China’s capital account and the financial integration that will unfold will be viewed as a milestone of similar importance.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Exchange rate regimes, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, F32, G, G1, G18

• Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Labour Market Adjustments in Canadian Manufacturing Industries

  Staff Working Paper 2015-45 Gabriel Bruneau, Kevin Moran

  We estimate the link between exchange rate fluctuations and the labour input of Canadian manufacturing industries. The analysis is based on a dynamic model of labour demand, and the econometric strategy employs a panel two-step approach for cointegrating regressions.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Exchange rate regimes, Exchange rates, Labour markets, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): E, E2, E24, F, F1, F14, F16, F3, F31, F4, F41, J, J2, J23

• November 13, 2015 Innovation, Central-Bank Style

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Rotman School of Management and Munk School of Global Affairs Toronto, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins discusses how the Bank is tackling the most important strategic challenges facing central banks today and how innovative thinking is critical to its success.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches Topic(s): Central bank research, Credibility, Economic models, Exchange rate regimes, Inflation targets, Monetary policy framework

• Motivations for Capital Controls and Their Effectiveness

  Staff Working Paper 2015-5 Radhika Pandey, Gurnain Pasricha, Ila Patnaik, Ajay Shah

  We assess the motivations for changing capital controls and their effectiveness in India, a country with extensive and long-standing controls. We focus on the controls on foreign borrowing that can, in principle, be motivated by macroprudential concerns.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Working Papers Topic(s): Exchange rate regimes, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F32, G, G1, G15, G18

• February 21, 2013 The G-20 Framework for Strong, Sustainable and Balanced Growth: Macroeconomic Coordination Since the Crisis

  Bank of Canada Review - Winter 2012-2013 Robert Lavigne, Subrata Sarker

  Since 2009, the G-20 Framework for Strong, Sustainable and Balanced Growth has provided a mechanism for international macroeconomic policy coordination. The Framework has had some successes, including agreement on objectives for fiscal consolidation. However, post-crisis global growth has been neither strong nor balanced. Progress has also been slow in developing credible fiscal consolidation plans in some advanced countries and in increasing exchange rate flexibility in certain emerging economies. A stronger peer review process and enhanced analysis of international spillovers would increase the Framework’s influence on member policies.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review Article Topic(s): Exchange rate regimes, Fiscal Policy, International topics, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): E, E6, E61, F, F5, F53, F55

• November 17, 2011 The International Monetary System: An Assessment and Avenue for Reform

  Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2011 Eric Santor, Lawrence Schembri

  The current international monetary system is in need of reform. This article first provides an assessment of the existing system, highlighting both its strengths and weaknesses. It notes that the system has not facilitated the symmetric and timely adjustment in the real exchange rate necessary to accommodate the integration of China and other emerging-market economies into the global economy. This lack of adjustment contributed to the global financial crisis and recession and, because it is forestalling the required rotation of global demand, is hindering the global recovery. The article then discusses reform of the system that would see all systemically important countries and currency areas adopt market-based and convertible floating exchange rates supported by appropriate monetary, fiscal and financial sector policy frameworks. It also examines the roles of the G-20 countries and major international financial institutions in promoting and facilitating the system’s transition.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review Article Topic(s): Exchange rate regimes, International topics

• External Stability, Real Exchange Rate Adjustment and the Exchange Rate Regime in Emerging-Market Economies

  Staff Discussion Paper 2011-5 Olivier Gervais, Lawrence Schembri, Lena Suchanek

  In emerging-market economies, real exchange rate adjustment is critical for maintaining a sustainable current account position and thereby for helping to reduce macroeconomic and financial instability.

  Content Type(s): Staff Research, Staff Discussion Papers Topic(s): Development economics, Exchange rate regimes, International topics JEL Code(s): F, F3, F31, F32, F4, F41