Average is Good Enough: Average-inflation Targeting and the ELB Staff Working Paper 2020-31 Robert Amano, Stefano Gnocchi, Sylvain Leduc, Joel Wagner The Great Recession and current pandemic have focused attention on the constraint on nominal interest rates from the effective lower bound. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Economic models, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E32, E5, E52
June 22, 2020 Targeting inflation during the pandemic Speech summary Tiff Macklem Canadian Clubs and Cercles canadiens Ottawa, Ontario In his first speech, Governor Tiff Macklem explains how the Bank’s commitment to low, stable and predictable inflation has guided our actions during COVID-19. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation
June 22, 2020 Monetary policy in the context of COVID-19 Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem Canadian clubs and cercles canadiens Ottawa, Ontario Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the conduct of monetary policy in the context of COVID-19. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation
May 25, 2020 Dealing with extreme uncertainty Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz University of Alberta’s Eric J. Hanson Memorial Lecture Edmonton, Alberta In a lecture capping off his time as Governor, Stephen S. Poloz discusses how the Bank uses a risk management approach to deal with uncertainty about risks such as the ones associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial stability, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation
May 25, 2020 Monetary policy in unknowable times Lecture Stephen S. Poloz Eric J. Hanson Memorial Lecture University of Alberta Edmonton, Alberta Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the evolution of the way the Bank takes a risk-management approach in the conduct of monetary policy, and what this implies for the recovery from the pandemic. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Lectures Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial stability, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation
Interest Rate Uncertainty as a Policy Tool Staff Working Paper 2020-13 Fabio Ghironi, Galip Kemal Ozhan We study a novel policy tool—interest rate uncertainty—that can be used to discourage inefficient capital inflows and to adjust the composition of external account between shortterm securities and foreign direct investment (FDI). Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): International financial markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, F, F2, F21, F3, F32, G, G1, G15
March 6, 2020 Evaluating our approach to monetary policy James (Jim) C. MacGee, Rhys R. Mendes Inflation targeting has been successful in Canada over the past 30 years. But is it the best we can do? The Bank of Canada asks itself, and Canadians, that question every five years. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Topic(s): Credibility, Inflation targets, Inflation: costs and benefits, Interest rates, Monetary policy framework, Price stability
The Power of Helicopter Money Revisited: A New Keynesian Perspective Staff Discussion Paper 2020-1 Thomas J. Carter, Rhys R. Mendes We analyze money financing of fiscal transfers (helicopter money) in two simple New Keynesian models: a “textbook” model in which all money is non-interest-bearing (e.g., all money is currency), and a more realistic model with interest-bearing reserves. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Topic(s): Credibility, Economic models, Fiscal policy, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E1, E12, E4, E41, E43, E5, E51, E52, E58, E6, E61, E63
February 5, 2020 Securing prosperity is up to all of us Speech summary Carolyn A. Wilkins Economic Club of Canada Toronto, Ontario Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins explains that Canada is well-positioned to secure prosperity and avoid a long period of slow growth if we take the right steps. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Fiscal policy, Interest rates, International topics, Monetary policy framework, Potential output, Productivity
February 5, 2020 Our Economic Destiny: Written in R-stars? Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Economic Club of Canada Toronto, Ontario Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins talks about how to navigate slow growth and discusses the types of policies that would help secure long-term prosperity. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Fiscal policy, Interest rates, International topics, Monetary policy framework, Potential output, Productivity