September 27, 2017 The Meaning of “Data Dependence”: An Economic Progress Report Remarks Stephen S. Poloz St. John’s Board of Trade St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses how unknowns in Canada’s inflation outlook have made the Bank’s monetary policy particularly data dependent. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economic models, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
September 27, 2017 Monetary policy data dependent given unknowns in inflation outlook, Bank of Canada Governor Poloz says Media Relations St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador The Bank of Canada’s approach to monetary policy has become particularly data dependent, because of significant unknowns around the inflation outlook as the Canadian economy nears its potential, Governor Stephen S. Poloz said today. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
What’s Up with Unit Non-Response in the Bank of Canada’s Business Outlook Survey? The Effect of Staff Tenure Staff discussion paper 2017-11 Sarah Miller, David Amirault, Laurent Martin Since 1997, the Bank of Canada’s regional offices have been conducting the Business Outlook Survey (BOS), a quarterly survey of business conditions. Survey responses are gathered through face-to-face, confidential consultations with a sample of private sector firms representative of the various sectors, firm sizes and regions across Canada. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C2, C21, C8, C81, D, D2, D22 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting
A Dynamic Factor Model for Commodity Prices Staff analytical note 2017-12 Doga Bilgin, Reinhard Ellwanger In this note, we present the Commodities Factor Model (CFM), a dynamic factor model for a large cross-section of energy and non-energy commodity prices. The model decomposes price changes in commodities into a common “global” component, a “block” component confined to subgroups of economically related commodities and an idiosyncratic price shock component. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): C, C5, C51, Q, Q0, Q02 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures
Changes in Monetary Regimes and the Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks: Narrative Evidence from Canada Staff working paper 2017-39 Julien Champagne, Rodrigo Sekkel We use narrative evidence along with a novel database of real-time data and forecasts from the Bank of Canada's staff economic projections from 1974 to 2015 to construct a new measure of monetary policy shocks and estimate the effects of monetary policy in Canada. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E32, E4, E43, E5, E52, E58 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Monetary policy tools and implementation, Real economy and forecasting
September 25, 2017 Bank of Canada assets and liabilities: Month-end (formerly B1) Month-end statement of assets and liabilities as required by the Bank of Canada Act. The figures for the last two reference periods are preliminary and are subject to revision.
September 25, 2017 Government of Canada direct securities and loans: Distribution of holdings (formerly G4) Distribution of Government of Canada direct securities and loans among the Bank of Canada, Government of Canada and the general public as at weekly Wednesday and at month-end.
September 25, 2017 Bank of Canada assets and liabilities: Weekly (formerly B2) Weekly Wednesday statement of assets and liabilities as required by the Bank of Canada Act. The figures for the last reference period are preliminary and are subject to revision.
September 25, 2017 Government of Canada Canadian dollar deposits (formerly in the WFS) Weekly Wednesday data on the total government deposit balance held at the Bank of Canada and with other market auction participants.