Monetary policy and uncertainty

• November 15, 2017

  Embracing Uncertainty in the Conduct of Monetary Policy

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Money Marketeers of New York University New York, New York

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins explains how uncertainty is factored into monetary policy decisions.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission

• Communicating Uncertainty in Monetary Policy

  Staff Discussion Paper 2017-14 Sharon Kozicki, Jill Vardy

  While central banks cannot provide complete foresight with respect to their future policy actions, it is in the interests of both central banks and market participants that central banks be transparent about their reaction functions and how they may evolve in response to economic developments, shocks, and risks to their outlooks.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Credibility, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy communications JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E58, E6, E61, E65

• Monetary Policy Under Uncertainty: Practice Versus Theory

  Staff Discussion Paper 2017-13 Rhys R. Mendes, Stephen Murchison, Carolyn A. Wilkins

  For central banks, conducting policy in an environment of uncertainty is a daily fact of life. This uncertainty can take many forms, ranging from incomplete knowledge of the correct economic model and data to future economic and geopolitical events whose precise magnitudes and effects cannot be known with certainty.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, E58, E6, E61, E65
• September 27, 2017

  The Meaning of “Data Dependence”: An Economic Progress Report

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz St. John’s Board of Trade St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador

  Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses how unknowns in Canada’s inflation outlook have made the Bank’s monetary policy particularly data dependent.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments
• May 11, 2017

  Why Is Global Business Investment So Weak? Some Insights from Advanced Economies

  Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2017 Robert Fay, Justin-Damien Guénette, Martin Leduc, Louis Morel

  Various drivers of business investment can be used to explain the underwhelming performance of investment in advanced economies since the global financial crisis, particularly since 2014. The slow growth in aggregate demand cannot by itself explain the full extent of the recent weakness in investment, which appears to be linked primarily to the collapse of global commodity prices and a rise in economic uncertainty. Looking ahead, business investment growth is likely to remain slower than in the pre-crisis period, largely because of structural factors such as population aging.

  Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Domestic demand and components, Economic models, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, D, D2, D24, D8, D80, E, E2, E22, F, F0, F01, G, G3, G31
• May 4, 2017

  Canada and Mexico: Common Issues in Uncommon Times

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz CanCham México and Club de Industriales Mexico City, Mexico

  Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses how shared economic traits leave Canada and Mexico well placed to face global challenges.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration
• April 12, 2017

  Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement

  Opening statement Carolyn A. Wilkins Ottawa, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Research Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Housing, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Potential output, Recent economic and financial developments
• March 21, 2017

  Getting Down to Business: Investment and the Economic Outlook

  Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Greater Vancouver Board of Trade Vancouver, British Columbia

  Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the factors affecting business investment and the implications for the economic outlook.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Domestic demand and components, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments
• January 31, 2017

  Models and the Art and Science of Making Monetary Policy

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz University of Alberta School of Business Edmonton, Alberta

  Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the evolution of economic models and the need for central bankers to apply judgment in using them.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models, Financial markets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty
• January 18, 2017

  Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement

  Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz, Carolyn A. Wilkins Ottawa, Ontario

  Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Research Topic(s): Fiscal policy, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Potential output, Recent economic and financial developments