Monetary policy and uncertainty

• November 16, 2021

  Measuring changes to the labour market

  Speech summary Lawrence L. Schembri Canadian Association for Business Economics Toronto, Ontario

  Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses how the Canadian labour market has changed during the pandemic. He explains why better tools to measure the health of the job market will help the Bank of Canada set monetary policy that supports the recovery.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Economic models, Inflation targets, Labour markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Potential output

• Secular Economic Changes and Bond Yields

  Staff Working Paper 2021-14 Bruno Feunou, Jean-Sébastien Fontaine

  We investigate the economic forces behind the secular decline in bond yields. Before the anchoring of inflation in the mid-1990s, nominal shocks drove inflation, output and bond yields. Afterward, the impacts of nominal shocks were much less significant.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Asset pricing, Econometric and statistical methods, Interest rates, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Potential output JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, G, G1, G12

• Qualitative Field Research in Monetary Policy Making

  Staff Discussion Paper 2021-1 Chris D'Souza, Jane Voll

  Central banks conduct research involving in-depth interviews with external parties—but little is known about how this information affects monetary policy. We address this gap by analyzing open-ended interviews with senior central bank economic and policy staff who work closely with policy decision-makers.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): C, C8, C83, E, E3, E37, E5, E52

• Can the Business Outlook Survey Help Improve Estimates of the Canadian Output Gap?

  Staff Discussion Paper 2020-14 Calista Cheung, Luke Frymire, Lise Pichette

  We investigate whether questions in the Bank of Canada’s Business Outlook Survey can provide useful signals for the output gap.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Economic models, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Potential output JEL Code(s): E, E3
• August 27, 2020

  The imperative for public engagement

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Jackson Hole Symposium Jackson Hole, Wyoming

  Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the need for the Bank to be clear, relatable and understandable when it communicates with the public.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Credibility, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty
• August 26, 2020

  Closing remarks

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Carolyn A. Wilkins Bank of Canada Workshop: “Toward the 2021 Renewal of the Monetary Policy Framework” Ottawa, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins concluded a day-long workshop on the renewal of the monetary policy framework with a summary of the discussions, and she outlined next steps on the path to the 2021 renewal.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework
• August 26, 2020

  Opening remarks

  Remarks (delivered virtually) Carolyn A. Wilkins Bank of Canada Workshop: “Toward the 2021 Renewal of the Monetary Policy Framework” Ottawa, Ontario

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses the challenges the Bank of Canada is facing as it seeks to renew its inflation-control target in 2021. Kicking off a day-long workshop on the renewal of the monetary policy framework, she explains how the Bank’s research on alternative frameworks is shaping up and invites discussion of how the COVID-19 crisis has changed what is known about alternative policy tools in action.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework
• May 25, 2020

  Dealing with extreme uncertainty

  Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz University of Alberta’s Eric J. Hanson Memorial Lecture Edmonton, Alberta

  In a lecture capping off his time as Governor, Stephen S. Poloz discusses how the Bank uses a risk management approach to deal with uncertainty about risks such as the ones associated with the COVID-19 pandemic.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial stability, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation
• May 25, 2020

  Monetary policy in unknowable times

  Lecture Stephen S. Poloz Eric J. Hanson Memorial Lecture University of Alberta Edmonton, Alberta

  Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the evolution of the way the Bank takes a risk-management approach in the conduct of monetary policy, and what this implies for the recovery from the pandemic.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Lectures Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Financial stability, Inflation targets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Monetary policy implementation
• May 20, 2020

  Decisive actions in difficult times

  Speech summary Timothy Lane CFA Society Winnipeg and the Manitoba Association for Business Economics Winnipeg, Manitoba

  Deputy Governor Timothy Lane talks about the Bank’s decisive actions in response to COVID-19, and how these will help Canadians now and in the future.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), Credit and credit aggregates, Credit risk management, Domestic demand and components, Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial services, Financial stability, Fiscal policy, Housing, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, International financial markets, Labour markets, Lender of last resort, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy implementation, Monetary policy transmission, Productivity, Recent economic and financial developments, Service sector, Trade integration