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Assessing global potential output growth: April 2025

This note presents the annual update of Bank of Canada staff estimates for growth in global potential output. These estimates served as key inputs to the analysis supporting the April 2025 Monetary Policy Report.

Potential output in Canada: 2025 assessment

We explore two scenarios for potential output growth to gain insights into the economic consequences associated with different possible trade policies. Scenario 1 includes limited US tariffs on Canadian exports. Scenario 2 adds a permanent, broad-based 25% increase in US tariffs on imports from all countries excluding Canada and Mexico.
June 5, 2025

Speech: C.D. Howe Institute

Talking to Canadians: How real-world insights shape monetary policy — Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki speaks before the C.D. Howe Institute in Toronto (12:35 (ET) approx.).

June 4, 2025

Press Conference: Policy Rate Announcement – June 2025

Interest Rate Announcement – Press conference by Governor Tiff Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers (10:30 (ET) approx.).

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