September 5, 2019 Economic Progress Report: Inflation in Canada—Well Behaved and Well Controlled Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Halifax Regional Chamber of Commerce Halifax, Nova Scotia Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and the behaviour of inflation in Canada. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economic models, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
The Governor’s Challenge: A Decade of Success Staff analytical paper 2026-9 James Chapman, Stéphanie Houle, Lawrence L. Schembri The Governor’s Challenge (GC) by the Bank of Canada marked its tenth year as a successful outreach and education initiative, designed to strengthen public understanding of macroeconomics and monetary policy. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical paper JEL Code(s): E, E5
Stress in the Press or Stress in the Market: A New Measure of Perceived Financial Stress Staff analytical paper 2026-50 Brett Barnes, Thibaut Duprey, Fred Liu We develop a news-based measure of perceived financial stress for Canada using Globe and Mail articles since 1977. We show that news shocks primarily impact unsecured households credit, consistent with household precautionary behavior. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical paper JEL Code(s): C, C5, C55, C8, C82, E, E4, E44, G, G0, G01 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Household and business credit, Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods
Synthesizing Signals from the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations Staff discussion paper 2025-11 Jacob Dolinar, Patrick Sabourin, Matt West We introduce the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations indicator. This indicator provides a summary measure of consumer opinions that we can track over time. We construct three underlying sub-indexes—financial health, labour market and consumer spending—that capture different factors influencing consumers’ daily lives. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): D, D1, D12, D8, D84, E, E2, E21, E3, E32, E7, E71 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
January 29, 1998 Annual Report 1997 With inflation remaining low for the sixth consecutive year, the Canadian economy recorded a strong expansion of about 4 per cent through 1997. Content Type(s): Publications, Annual Report
October 5, 2010 Reflections on Monetary Policy After the Great Recession Remarks Tiff Macklem International Finance Club of Montréal Montréal, Quebec As a native Montrealer, I am particularly pleased to be coming home to deliver my first speech as Senior Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
November 23, 2021 Financial stability through the pandemic and beyond Remarks (delivered virtually) Paul Beaudry OSC Dialogue, Ontario Securities Commission Toronto, Ontario Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry provides an update on financial vulnerabilities and risks in Canada, including those stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Currency, Bank notes, Financial system, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation
March 26, 2015 Central Bank Credibility and Policy Normalization Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Canada-United Kingdom Chamber of Commerce London, United Kingdom Governor Poloz discusses the recent rise in financial market volatility and low long-term borrowing costs, and what they both mean for central bank credibility. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
July 13, 2016 Monetary Policy Report Press Conference Opening Statement Opening statement Carolyn A. Wilkins, Stephen S. Poloz Ottawa, Ontario Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins discusses key issues involved in the Governing Council’s deliberations about the policy rate decision and the MPR. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Subject(s): Financial system, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
April 3, 2023 Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—First Quarter of 2023 Results in the first quarter of 2023 show that consumer expectations for inflation one to two years ahead fell but remain elevated, particularly for services. Consumers, especially indebted households and equity-deserving groups, are facing financial pressures and limits on their spending due to high inflation and increasing interest rates. Consumers expect to spend less on discretionary services, such as travelling and eating out. Canadians continue to anticipate a recession in the next 12 months. Many are uncertain about where the economy and job markets are going. Despite this, workers still see the labour market as strong and expect wage growth to increase. Content Type(s): Publications, Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations