Uncertainty and the Specificity of Human Capital
This paper studies the choice between general and specific human capital. A trade-off arises because general human capital, while less productive, can easily be reallocated across firms.
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Estimation and Inference by the Method of Projection Minimum Distance
A covariance-stationary vector of variables has a Wold representation whose coefficients can be semi-parametrically estimated by local projections (Jordà, 2005). Substituting the Wold representations for variables in model expressions generates restrictions that can be used by the method of minimum distance to estimate model parameters. -
The Impact of Emerging Asia on Commodity Prices
Over the past 5 years, real energy and non-energy commodity prices have trended sharply higher. These relative price movements have had important implications for inflation and economic activity in both Canada and the rest of the world. China has accounted for the bulk of incremental demand for oil and many base metals over this period. -
Tracking Canadian Trend Productivity: A Dynamic Factor Model with Markov Switching
The author attempts to track Canadian labour productivity over the past four decades using a multivariate dynamic factor model that, in addition to the labour productivity series, includes aggregate compensation and consumption information. Productivity is assumed to switch between two regimes (the high-growth state and the low-growth state) with different trend growth rates according to […] -
November 20, 2007
Managing Risks to Financial System Stability
The recent dislocations in credit markets have brought these issues into sharp focus. Among other things, the market turbulence has highlighted the critical role that confidence and liquidity play in financial markets. -
November 15, 2007
Debt Strategy Consultations 2008/09 Views Sought on Issues Relating to the Government's Domestic Debt Program for 2008/09 and Beyond
A consultation document on issues relating to the design and operation of the government's domestic debt program for the fiscal year 2008/09 and beyond, prepared jointly by the Department of Finance and the Bank of Canada, is being made public today. -
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November 7, 2007
Developing a Framework to Assess Financial Stability
Conference held on 7 and 8 November 2007 (papers in unedited, electronic format only) -
November 6, 2007
North America in Today's Global Economic Setting
In recent months, much has been said, and written, about developments in financial markets. The turbulence in global credit markets, which had its roots in developments in the market for subprime mortgages here in the United States, has been a focal point of attention for market participants and policy-makers around the world. -
Expenditure-Switching Effect and the Choice of Exchange Rate Regime
The author investigates the quantitative importance of the expenditure-switching effect by developing and estimating a structural sticky-price model nesting both producer currency pricing (PCP) and local currency pricing (LCP) settings.