Productivity
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Potential output and the neutral rate in Canada: 2022 reassessment
We expect potential output growth to be lower in 2021 than anticipated in the April 2021 assessment. By 2025, growth is expected to reach 2.3%. We assess that the Canadian nominal neutral rate increased slightly to lie in the range of 2.00% to 3.00%. -
Contribution of Human Capital Accumulation to Canadian Economic Growth
This paper quantifies the contribution of human capital accumulation to the growth of real gross domestic product (GDP) in Canada. -
Job Ladder and Business Cycles
During downturns, workers get stuck in low-productivity jobs and wages remain stagnant. I build an heterogenous agent incomplete market model with a full job ladder that accounts for these facts. An adverse financial shock calibrated to the US Great Recession replicates the period’s slow recovery and missing disinflation. -
February 9, 2022
The role of Canadian business in fostering non-inflationary growth
Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how business investment and stronger productivity are vital to sustaining non-inflationary economic growth. -
February 9, 2022
Producing growth with less inflation
Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how—by investing in technology and people—businesses can help the economy grow more with less inflation.