July 9, 2024
Inflation and prices
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The Output-Inflation Trade-off in Canada
We explain how the Bank of Canada’s policy models capture the trade-off between output and inflation in Canada. We provide new estimates of the trade-off and contrast them with those in the Bank’s macroeconomic models. -
June 19, 2024
What you pay for at the pump
Several factors help set gasoline prices: the costs of crude oil, refining, transporting, retailing and marketing gas, as well as taxes. -
June 13, 2024
Reviewing our pandemic actions
Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki talks about the importance of central bank transparency and accountability. She looks at the exceptional monetary policy measures the Bank of Canada used during the COVID-19 pandemic and analyzes their effectiveness. -
June 13, 2024
Exceptional policies for an exceptional time: From quantitative easing to quantitative tightening
Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki discusses the use of exceptional monetary policy tools during the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the Bank’s commitment to transparency and accountability. -
Sources of pandemic-era inflation in Canada: an application of the Bernanke and Blanchard model
We explore the drivers of the surge in inflation in Canada during the COVID-19 pandemic. This work is part of a joint effort by 11 central banks using the model developed by Bernanke and Blanchard (2023) to identify similarities and differences across economies. -
Assessing the Impact of the Bank of Canada’s Government Bond Purchases
In March 2020, the Bank of Canada implemented the Government of Canada Bond Purchase Program, eventually purchasing approximately $340 billion of government bonds. In this paper, we analyze the impact of this program on financial market prices and yields as well as on GDP and inflation. -
June 12, 2024
Central banking: Navigating in a new world
Governor Tiff Macklem looks back on the lessons learned from post-pandemic inflation and discusses the challenges ahead. -
Markups and Inflation in Oligopolistic Markets: Evidence from Wholesale Price Data
We study how the interaction of market power and nominal price rigidity influences inflation dynamics. We find that pass-through declines with price stickiness when markets are concentrated, which implies a lower slope of the New Keynesian Phillips curve. -
Endogenous Credibility and Wage-Price Spirals
We quantitively assess the risks of a wage-price spiral occurring in Canada over history. We find the risk of a wage-price spiral increases when the inflation expectations become unanchored and the credibility of central banks declines.