Financial stability

• May 6, 2019

  Poloz talks mortgages: Innovation could improve flexibility

  Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz Canadian Credit Union Association and the Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce Winnipeg, Manitoba

  Stephen S. Poloz, Governor of the Bank of Canada, speaks before the Canadian Credit Union Association and the Winnipeg Chamber of Commerce.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Financial services, Financial stability, Housing, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration

• Disentangling the Factors Driving Housing Resales

  Staff Analytical Note 2019-12 Mikael Khan, Taylor Webley

  We use a recently developed model and loan-level microdata to decompose movements in housing resales since 2015. We find that fundamental factors, namely housing affordability and full-time employment, have had offsetting effects on resales over our study period.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Housing, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, E, E2, R, R2, R21

• Could Canadian Bond Funds Add Stress to the Financial System?

  Staff Analytical Note 2019-9 Rohan Arora, Guillaume Bédard-Pagé, Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc, Ryan Shotlander

  We create a hypothetical scenario to study the role bond funds play in intensifying shocks to the financial system. Using data from 2018 and 2007, we find that bond funds play a larger role now than they did in the past.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Financial stability JEL Code(s): G, G1, G2, G20, G23

• Bond Funds and Fixed-Income Market Liquidity: A Stress-Testing Approach

  Technical Report No. 115 Rohan Arora, Guillaume Bédard-Pagé, Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc, Ryan Shotlander

  This report provides a detailed technical description of a stress test model for investment funds called Ceto.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Research Topic(s): Economic models, Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial stability JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G14, G2, G20, G23

• Non-Bank Financial Intermediation in Canada: An Update

  Staff Discussion Paper 2019-2 Guillaume Bédard-Pagé

  Non-bank financing provides an important funding source for the economy and is a valuable alternative to traditional banking. It helps enhance the efficiency and resiliency of the financial system while giving customers more choices for their financial services. Unlike banking, it is not prudentially regulated.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial stability JEL Code(s): G, G0, G01, G2, G20, G23

• Non-Resident Taxes and the Role of House Price Expectations

  Staff Analytical Note 2019-8 Mikael Khan, Matthieu Verstraete

  In recent years, the governments of Ontario and British Columbia have imposed taxes on purchases by non-Canadian residents of residential properties in certain jurisdictions.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Financial stability, Housing JEL Code(s): D, D8, D84, R, R2, R21
• March 14, 2019

  The Age of Leverage

  Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins UBC Vancouver School of Economics and CFA Society Vancouver Vancouver, British Columbia

  Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses how high leverage is both a headwind to global growth and a vulnerability in the global financial system.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Balance of payments and components, Credit risk management, Financial institutions, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Fiscal policy

• Liquidity Management of Canadian Corporate Bond Mutual Funds: A Machine Learning Approach

  Staff Analytical Note 2019-7 Rohan Arora, Chen Fan, Guillaume Ouellet Leblanc

  When redeeming shares for investors, bond fund managers must choose a mix of cash and bond sales to honour their commitments. This note uses machine learning algorithms to uncover new patterns in decisions fund managers make to meet redemptions.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Financial stability JEL Code(s): G, G1, G2, G20, G23
• February 21, 2019

  Toward 2021: The Power—and Limitations—of Policy

  Remarks Stephen S. Poloz The Chamber of Commerce of Metropolitan Montreal Montréal, Quebec

  Governor Poloz explains that monetary policy is a powerful tool to promote economic welfare, but it also has some important limits.

  Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Financial stability, Inflation targets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Recent economic and financial developments

• Macroprudential Policy with Capital Buffers

  Staff Working Paper 2019-8 Josef Schroth

  The countercyclical capital buffer is part of Basel III, the set of regulatory measures developed in response to the financial crisis of 2007–09. This study focuses on how time-varying capital buffers can address inefficiencies in economies with endogenous financial crises.

  Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Credit and credit aggregates, Credit risk management, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Lender of last resort JEL Code(s): E, E1, E13, E3, E32, E4, E44