Potential output and the neutral rate in Canada: 2023 assessment Staff analytical note 2023-6 Julien Champagne, Christopher Hajzler, Dmitry Matveev, Harlee Melinchuk, Antoine Poulin-Moore, Galip Kemal Ozhan, Youngmin Park, Temel Taskin We expect that potential output growth will rebound from 1.4% in 2022 to 2.2% on average between 2023 and 2026. We revised down our estimates of growth over 2022–25 relative to the April 2022 assessment. The Canadian nominal neutral rate remains unchanged—in the range of 2% to 3%. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E2, E3, E4, E5 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
April 1, 2019 Canada’s export sector shows promise in a challenging environment, Governor Poloz says Media Relations Iqaluit, Nunavut Canada’s economy can build on its traditional strengths by taking advantage of export opportunities in rapidly growing service sectors to overcome the current challenging environment, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz said today. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
August 27, 2007 The Bank of Canada's Research Agenda and the Future of Inflation Targeting Remarks Pierre Duguay Canadian Association for Business Economics Kingston, Ontario The last few weeks have been a time of turbulence in financial markets. In times such as these, it is common for people to focus on day-by-day or even hour-by-hour events, and to lose sight of the future. But tonight, I want to focus on the future; specifically, the future of inflation targeting in Canada. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Breaking Down the US Employment Multiplier Using Micro-Level Data Staff working paper 2025-8 Edoardo Briganti, Holt Dwyer, Ricardo Duque Gabriel, Victor Sellemi Using newly matched data on US defense contracts and restricted administrative employment data, we show that the employment effects of defense procurement are costly, concentrated and slow to diffuse. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E6, E62, H, H5, H57, J, J2, J21 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
March 3, 2022 Economic progress report: Controlling inflation Remarks (delivered virtually) Tiff Macklem CFA Society Toronto Toronto, Ontario Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and what’s driving inflation in Canada. He also discusses how the Bank will manage the next step in the Bank’s balance sheet operations – quantitative tightening. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
September 10, 2024 Rewired, recast and redirected: Global trade and implications for Canada Remarks Tiff Macklem Canada-UK Chamber of Commerce London, United Kingdom Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem discuss shifts in the global trade environment and outlines the challenges and opportunities for Canada. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Subject(s): Financial system, Financial markets, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation
A Portfolio-Balance Model of Inflation and Yield Curve Determination Staff working paper 2020-6 Antonio Diez de los Rios How does the supply of nominal government debt affect the macroeconomy? To answer this question, we propose a portfolio-balance model of the yield curve in which inflation is determined through an interest rate rule. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, E5, E52, G, G1, G12, H, H6, H63 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Monetary policy tools and implementation
July 17, 2001 Bank of Canada lowers key policy interest rate by 1/4 percentage point to 4 1/4 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it is lowering its target for the overnight rate* by one-quarter of one percentage point to 4 1/4 per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate is correspondingly lowered, and the Bank Rate is now 4 1/2 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
January 23, 2001 Bank of Canada lowers Bank Rate to 5 3/4 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it is lowering the Bank Rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 5 3/4 per cent. The operating band for the overnight rate is correspondingly lowered, and the Bank's target for the overnight rate is reduced to 5 1/2 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
May 8, 2025 Release of the Financial Stability Report Opening statement Tiff Macklem, Carolyn Rogers Ottawa, Ontario Press conference following the release of the Financial Stability Report. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Subject(s): Financial system, Financial markets, Financial stability, Funds management, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth