The U.S. New Keynesian Phillips Curve: An Empirical Assessment Staff Working Paper 2004-35 Alain Guay, Florian Pelgrin The authors examine the evidence presented by Galí and Gertler (1999) and Galí, Gertler, and Lopez-Salido (2001, 2003) that the inflation dynamics in the United States can be well-described by the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC). Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): C, C1, C13, C5, C52, E, E3, E31
Market Valuation and Risk Assessment of Canadian Banks Staff Working Paper 2004-34 Ying Liu, Mingwei Yuan, Eli Papakirykos The authors apply the asset-valuation model developed by Rabinovitch (1989) to six publicly traded Canadian banks over the period 1982–2002. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial institutions JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G2, G21
Counterfeiting: A Canadian Perspective Staff Working Paper 2004-33 John Chant Counterfeiting is a significant public policy issue, because paper money, despite rumours of its demise, remains an important part of our payments system. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Bank notes JEL Code(s): E, E5, E58
Investment, Private Information, and Social Learning: A Case Study of the Semiconductor Industry Staff Working Paper 2004-32 Rose Cunningham Social learning models of investment provide an interesting explanation for sudden changes in investment behaviour. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles JEL Code(s): C, C3, C35, E, E3, E32, L, L6, L63
The New Keynesian Hybrid Phillips Curve: An Assessment of Competing Specifications for the United States Staff Working Paper 2004-31 David Dupuis Inflation forecasting is fundamental to monetary policy. In practice, however, economists are faced with competing goals: accuracy and theoretical consistency. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31
The New Basel Capital Accord and the Cyclical Behaviour of Bank Capital Staff Working Paper 2004-30 Mark Illing, Graydon Paulin The authors conduct a counterfactual simulation of the proposed rules under the new Basel Capital Accord (Basel II), including the revised treatment of expected and unexpected credit losses proposed by the Basel Committee in October 2003. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial institutions JEL Code(s): G, G2, G21, G28, K, K2, K23
Uninsurable Investment Risks Staff Working Paper 2004-29 Césaire Meh, Vincenzo Quadrini The authors study a general-equilibrium economy in which agents have the ability to invest in a risky technology. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Financial institutions, Financial markets JEL Code(s): D, D3, D31, E, E2, E21, G, G0
Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Canada: Some Interesting Principles for EMU? Staff Working Paper 2004-28 Virginie Traclet Choosing a well-designed framework for fiscal and monetary policies is a challenge for economic authorities. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Fiscal policy, Monetary policy framework JEL Code(s): E, E5, E58, E6, E61, E63
Financial Market Imperfection, Overinvestment, and Speculative Precaution Staff Working Paper 2004-27 Christian Calmès The author uses panel data to assess the sensitivity of investment to cash flow in non-financial firms, taking into account the role their financial health plays in investment decisions. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles JEL Code(s): D, D9, D92, E, E2, E22, E4, E44, G, G3, G33
Regulatory Changes and Financial Structure: The Case of Canada Staff Working Paper 2004-26 Christian Calmès The author documents some stylized facts about the Canadian financial structure. He explores these empirical facts in the context of Canadian financial legislation and finds that, over the 1990s, Canadian businesses became more heavily dependent on financial markets as their primary source of external funding. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial services, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): G, G2, G20, G21