June 18, 2008
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2334
result(s)
Inflation, Nominal Portfolios, and Wealth Redistribution in Canada
Staff Working Paper 2008-19
Césaire Meh,
Yaz Terajima
There is currently a policy debate on potential refinements to monetary policy regimes in countries with low and stable inflation such as the U.S. and Canada. For example, in Canada, a systematic review of the current inflation targeting framework is underway.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Inflation targets,
Inflation: costs and benefits,
Monetary policy framework,
Sectoral balance sheet
JEL Code(s):
D,
D3,
D31,
D5,
D58,
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E50
June 17, 2008
A Tool for Assessing Financial Vulnerabilities in the Household Sector
In this article, the authors build on the framework used in the Bank of Canada's Financial System Review to assess the evolution of household indebtedness and financial vulnerabilities in response to changing economic conditions. To achieve this, they first compare two microdata sets generated by Ipsos Reid's Canadian Financial Monitor and Statistics Canada's Survey of Financial Security. They find that the surveys are broadly comparable, despite methodological differences. This enables them to use the combined information content for the identification of the threshold value of the debt-service ratio (DSR). The article then presents an innovative framework that uses household-level microdata to simulate changes in the distribution of the DSR under various stress scenarios. The authors show how this framework can be used by analyzing the effects of two different scenarios on the distribution of the debt-service ratio and the impact on vulnerable households. This tool will enable researchers to refine their analyses of current risks to the financial health of Canadian households. The article concludes with comments on future directions for refining the Bank's analyses of household sector risk.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Economic models,
Financial stability
June 16, 2008
A Money and Credit Real-Time Database for Canada
Bank of Canada Review - Summer 2008
Roobina Keshishbanoosy,
Pierre St-Amant,
Devin Ball,
Ivan Medovikov
Model-based forecasts of important economic variables are part of the range of information considered for monetary policy decision making.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Monetary aggregates,
Monetary policy and uncertainty
Empirical Likelihood Block Bootstrapping
Staff Working Paper 2008-18
Jason Allen,
Allan Gregory,
Katsumi Shimotsu
Monte Carlo evidence has made it clear that asymptotic tests based on generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation have disappointing size. The problem is exacerbated when the moment conditions are serially correlated.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C14,
C2,
C22
Policy Coordination in an International Payment System
Staff Working Paper 2008-17
James Chapman
Given the increasing interdependence of both financial systems and attendant payment and settlement systems a vital question is what form should optimal policy take when there are two connected payment systems with separate regulators.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rate regimes,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E58,
F,
F3,
F31,
F33
On Portfolio Separation Theorems with Heterogeneous Beliefs and Attitudes towards Risk
Staff Working Paper 2008-16
Fousseni Chabi-Yo,
Eric Ghysels,
Eric Renault
The early work of Tobin (1958) showed that portfolio allocation decisions can be reduced to a two stage process: first decide the relative allocation of assets across the risky assets, and second decide how to divide total wealth between the risky assets and the safe asset. This so called twofund separation relies on special assumptions on either returns or preferences.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C52,
D,
D5,
D58,
G,
G1,
G11,
G12
The Global Effects of U.S. Fiscal Policy
Staff Discussion Paper 2008-8
Kimberly Beaton
The author examines the global impact of U.S. fiscal policy using the Bank of Canada's Global Economy Model (Lalonde and Muir 2007). In particular, she examines the global macroeconomic implications of the expiration of major tax cuts in the United States and of expected increases in U.S. entitlement program expenditures.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Fiscal policy,
International topics,
Regional economic developments
JEL Code(s):
H,
H0,
H2,
H3
The Effects of a Disruption in CDSX Settlement on Activity in the LVTS: A Simulation Study
Staff Discussion Paper 2008-7
Lana Embree,
Kirby Millar
The Large Value Transfer System (LVTS) for settling large payments, and CDSX for settling debt and equity trades, are two of the main settlement systems in Canada. They are closely linked; for example, at the end of the day the final CDSX payment obligations must settle on the Bank of Canada's books, with payments made […]
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E58,
G,
G2,
G21
Reforming the IMF: Lessons from Modern Central Banking
Staff Discussion Paper 2008-6
Philipp Maier,
Eric Santor
The authors examine the institutional and governance framework of modern central banks to determine whether there are lessons that can be applied to the International Monetary Fund's (IMF's) institutional framework. Such a comparison is appealing for two reasons. First, both central banks and the IMF carry out tasks that can be described as "delegated responsibilities." […]
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3