Using Speed and Credit Limits to Address the Procyclicality of Initial Margin at Central Counterparties Staff Discussion Paper 2016-18 Nikil Chande, Nicholas Labelle This paper proposes a practical approach to address the procyclicality of initial margin at central counterparties (CCPs) that can work even in periods of extreme stress. The approach allows CCPs to limit the speed of margin increases resulting from spikes in market volatility. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Payment clearing and settlement systems JEL Code(s): G, G1, G18
Starting from a Blank Page? Semantic Similarity in Central Bank Communication and Market Volatility Staff Working Paper 2016-37 Michael Ehrmann, Jonathan Talmi Press releases announcing and explaining monetary policy decisions play a critical role in the communication strategy of central banks. Because of their market-moving potential, it is particularly important how they are drafted. Often, central banks start from the previous statement and update the earlier text with only small changes. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Financial markets, Interest rates JEL Code(s): E, E4, E43, E5, E52, E58
June 9, 2016 Release of the Financial System Review Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz Ottawa, Ontario Press conference following the release of the Financial System Review. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Research Topic(s): Credit and credit aggregates, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Housing, Sectoral balance sheet
June 9, 2016 Securities Financing and Bond Market Liquidity Financial System Review - June 2016 Jean-Sébastien Fontaine, Corey Garriott, Kyle Gray This report investigates how the markets for repurchase agreements and securities-lending agreements support the liquidity of Canadian bond markets. It also discusses how recent regulatory changes, as well as low interest rates and settlement failures, are potentially affecting securities-financing markets and, as a result, bond market liquidity. Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Review articles Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Financial system regulation and policies, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G12, G2
Estimating Systematic Risk Under Extremely Adverse Market Conditions Staff Working Paper 2016-22 Maarten van Oordt, Chen Zhou This paper considers the problem of estimating a linear model between two heavy-tailed variables if the explanatory variable has an extremely low (or high) value. We propose an estimator for the model coefficient by exploiting the tail dependence between the two variables and prove its asymptotic properties. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Financial markets JEL Code(s): C, C1, C14, G, G0, G01
Retail Order Flow Segmentation Staff Working Paper 2016-20 Corey Garriott, Adrian Walton In August 2012, the New York Stock Exchange launched the Retail Liquidity Program (RLP), a trading facility that enables participating organizations to quote dark limit orders executable only by retail traders. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Financial system regulation and policies, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G14, G2, G20, L, L1, L10
Dating Systemic Financial Stress Episodes in the EU Countries Staff Working Paper 2016-11 Benjamin Klaus, Tuomas Peltonen, Thibaut Duprey This paper introduces a new methodology to date systemic financial stress events in a transparent, objective and reproducible way. The financial cycle is captured by a monthly country-specific financial stress index. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Central bank research, Econometric and statistical methods, Economic models, Financial markets, Financial stability, Financial system regulation and policies, Monetary and financial indicators JEL Code(s): C, C5, C54, G, G0, G01, G1, G15
A Framework in Search of an Optimal Margining Policy for Official Institutions: The Canadian Experience Staff Discussion Paper 2016-9 Tomo Nakashima, Mihai Cosma, Boran Plong One of the main outcomes of the global financial crisis has been a series of new regulations imposed on the financial system and specifically on banks. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Foreign reserves management JEL Code(s): G, G3, G32
Canadian Repo Market Ecology Staff Discussion Paper 2016-8 Corey Garriott, Kyle Gray This is the first of the Financial Markets Department’s descriptions of Canadian financial industrial organization. The document discusses the organization of the repurchase-agreement (repo) market in Canada. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers Research Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial system regulation and policies, Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): G, G1, G18, G2, G21, G23
November 19, 2015 The Effect of Regulatory Changes on Monetary Policy Implementation Frameworks Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2015 Meyer Aaron, Annick Demers, Sean Durr This article provides an analysis of some recent banking regulatory initiatives that are likely to influence the activities of financial intermediaries and the effectiveness of central bank monetary policy implementation frameworks. Although the effects of individual regulations can be anticipated in most cases, the combined regulatory impact is not yet clear. Central banks should, however, be able to accommodate the effects of the emerging regulatory environment within their existing policy implementation frameworks. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles Research Topic(s): Financial institutions, Financial markets, Financial system regulation and policies, Monetary policy implementation JEL Code(s): E, E5, E52, G, G2, G21, L, L5, L50