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172
result(s)
A Behavioral New Keynesian Model of a Small Open Economy Under Limited Foresight
Staff Working Paper 2023-44
Seunghoon Na,
Yinxi Xie
This paper studies exchange rate dynamics by incorporating bounded rationality, that is, limited foresight, in a small open-economy model. This behavior of limited foresight helps explain several observations and puzzles in the data of exchange rate movements.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Exchange rates,
International topics,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
E7,
E70,
F,
F3,
F31,
F4,
F41
Stress Relief? Funding Structures and Resilience to the Covid Shock
Staff Working Paper 2023-7
Kristin Forbes,
Christian Friedrich,
Dennis Reinhardt
Funding structures affected the amount of financial stress different countries and sectors experienced during the spread of COVID-19 in early 2020. Policy responses targeting specific vulnerabilities were more effective at mitigating this stress than those supporting banks or the economy more broadly.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Coronavirus disease (COVID-19),
Exchange rates,
Financial institutions,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E6,
E65,
F,
F3,
F31,
F36,
F4,
F42,
G,
G1,
G18,
G2,
G23,
G3,
G38
Foreign Exchange Interventions: The Long and the Short of It
Staff Working Paper 2022-25
Patrick Alexander,
Sami Alpanda,
Serdar Kabaca
This paper studies the effects of foreign exchange (FX) interventions in a two-region model where governments issue both short- and long-term bonds. We find that the term premium channel dominates the trade balance channel in our calibrated model. As a result, the conventional beggar-thy-neighbor effects of interventions are overturned.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Exchange rate regimes,
Exchange rates,
Foreign reserves management,
International financial markets,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
F33,
F4,
F41
Exports and the Exchange Rate: A General Equilibrium Perspective
Staff Working Paper 2022-18
Patrick Alexander,
Abeer Reza
How do a country’s exports change when its currency depreciates? Does it matter which forces drive the exchange rate deprecation in the first place? We find that this relationship varies greatly depending on what drives exchange rate movements, and we conclude that the direct relationship between the exchange rate and exports is weak for Canada.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Balance of payments and components,
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Exchange rate regimes,
Exchange rates,
International topics,
Monetary policy transmission,
Trade integration
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
F32,
F33,
F4,
F41
Real Exchange Rate Decompositions
Staff Discussion Paper 2022-6
Bruno Feunou,
Jean-Sébastien Fontaine,
Ingomar Krohn
We break down the exchange rate based on an explicit link between fixed income and currency markets. We isolate a foreign exchange risk premium and show it is the main driver of the exchange rate between the Canadian and US dollars, especially on monetary policy and macroeconomic news announcement days.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Exchange rates,
International financial markets,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G1,
G12
Monetary Policy and Redistribution in Open Economies
Staff Working Paper 2022-6
Xing Guo,
Pablo Ottonello,
Diego Perez
We study how different types of monetary policy shape the distributional effects of external economic shocks on households’ consumption in a small open economy. Our results present a trade-off between maintaining overall stabilization and controlling consumption inequality.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rate regimes,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E5,
E52,
F,
F4,
F41,
F44
Revisiting the Monetary Sovereignty Rationale for CBDCs
Staff Discussion Paper 2021-17
Skylar Brooks
One argument for central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) is that without them, private and foreign digital monies could displace domestic currencies, threatening the central bank’s monetary policy and lender of last resort capabilities. I revisit this monetary sovereignty rationale and offer a wider view—one that considers a broader set of currency functions and captures important cross-country variation.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Debt management,
Digital currencies and fintech,
Exchange rate regimes,
Financial stability,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E41,
E42,
E5,
E52,
E58,
H,
H1,
H12,
H6,
H63
Foreign Exchange Fixings and Returns Around the Clock
Staff Working Paper 2021-48
Ingomar Krohn,
Philippe Mueller,
Paul Whelan
We document a new empirical finding in the foreign exchange market: currency returns show systematic reversals around the benchmark fixings. Specifically, the US dollar, on average, appreciates in the hours before fixes and depreciates after fixes.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G1,
G15
Fiscal Spillovers: The Case of US Corporate and Personal Income Taxes
Staff Working Paper 2021-41
Madeline Hanson,
Daniela Hauser,
Romanos Priftis
How do changes to personal and corporate income tax rates in the United States affect its trading partners? Spillover effects from cuts in the two taxes differ. They are generally small and negative for corporate taxes, but sizable and positive for personal income taxes.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Exchange rate regimes,
Fiscal policy,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E6,
E62,
F,
F4,
F44,
H,
H2,
H20