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2338
result(s)
Fixed-Term and Permanent Employment Contracts: Theory and Evidence
Staff Working Paper 2011-21
Shutao Cao,
Enchuan Shao,
Pedro Silos
This paper constructs a theory of the coexistence of fixed-term and permanent employment contracts in an environment with ex-ante identical workers and employers. Workers under fixed-term contracts can be dismissed at no cost while permanent employees enjoy labor protection.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Labour markets,
Potential output,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
H,
H2,
H29,
J,
J2,
J23,
J3,
J38
A Stochastic Volatility Model with Conditional Skewness
Staff Working Paper 2011-20
Bruno Feunou,
Roméo Tedongap
We develop a discrete-time affine stochastic volatility model with time-varying conditional skewness (SVS). Importantly, we disentangle the dynamics of conditional volatility and conditional skewness in a coherent way.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Econometric and statistical methods
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C5,
G,
G1,
G12
Exchange Rates and Individual Good’s Price Misalignment: Some Preliminary Evidence of Long-Horizon Predictability
Staff Discussion Paper 2011-8
Wei Dong,
Deokwoo Nam
When prices are sticky, movements in the nominal exchange rate have a direct impact on international relative prices. A relative price misalignment would trigger an adjustment in consumption and employment, and may help to predict future movements in the exchange rate.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
F4,
F47
Measuring Systemic Importance of Financial Institutions: An Extreme Value Theory Approach
Staff Working Paper 2011-19
Toni Gravelle,
Fuchun Li
In this paper, we define a financial institution’s contribution to financial systemic risk as the increase in financial systemic risk conditional on the crash of the financial institution. The higher the contribution is, the more systemically important is the institution for the system.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial institutions,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C14,
C5,
C58,
G,
G2,
G21,
G3,
G32
Price-Level Targeting and Inflation Expectations: Experimental Evidence
Staff Working Paper 2011-18
Robert Amano,
Jim Engle-Warnick,
Malik Shukayev
In this paper, we use an economics decision-making experiment to test a key assumption underpinning the efficacy of price-level targeting relative to inflation targeting for business cycle stabilization and mitigating the effects of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E5,
E52
August 18, 2011
Introducing Multiple Interest rates in ToTEM
This article describes changes to the structure of ToTEM—the Bank of Canada’s main model for projection and policy analysis—that allow an independent role for long-term interest rates, as well as for the risk spreads that lead to differences in the interest rates faced by households, firms and the government. These changes broaden the range of policy questions that the model can address and improve its ability to explain data. The authors use the model to simulate the effects of shocks to the risk spreads on interest rates similar to those that occurred during the recent financial crisis. They also use the model to assess the macroeconomic impact of higher requirements for bank capital and liquidity.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Interest rates
August 18, 2011
The BoC-GEM-Fin: Banking in the Global Economy
This article describes the Bank of Canada’s version of the Global Economy Model structured to incorporate an active banking system that features an interbank market and cross-border lending. After describing the new model, the authors use it to examine the responses of selected U.S. and Canadian macroeconomic variables to a “credit crunch” in the United States and also to study the impact of changes in the regulatory limits to bank leverage in Canada. They also discuss the relative merits of a monetary policy framework based on inflation targeting and one based on price-level targeting in the presence of shocks to the U.S. and Canadian banking sectors.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial institutions,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Monetary policy framework
August 18, 2011
Bank Balance Sheets, Deleveraging and the Transmission Mechanism
The author investigates the influence of bank capital on economic activity, using a macroeconomic model that incorporates an explicit role for financial intermediation. The analysis focuses on the role of a “bank-capital channel” in propagating and amplifying monetary policy actions and other shocks. The question of whether weaker bank balance sheets make the economy more vulnerable to adverse shocks is examined, together with the impact of initiatives, such as countercyclical capital buffers, on the transmission of monetary policy and other shocks to the real economy.
August 18, 2011
Mortgage Debt and Procyclicality in the Housing Market
This article focuses on the role that loans backed by housing collateral play in amplifying housing booms and, more generally, procyclicality in the housing market. The author uses a model developed to include borrower and lender households, as well as a housing market, to examine the impact that altering the loan-to-value ratio (either permanently or countercyclically) might have on the volatility of house prices and mortgage debt.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Market structure and pricing