June 9, 2016
International financial markets
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April 5, 2016
China’s Great Transition: What It Means for Canada
Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins discusses the risks and opportunities for Canada of China’s economic transition. -
The Dynamics of Capital Flow Episodes
This paper proposes a novel methodology for identifying episodes of strong capital flows based on a regime-switching model. In comparison with the existing literature, a key advantage of our methodology is to estimate capital flow regimes without the need for context- and sample-specific assumptions. -
Limits to Arbitrage and Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity
We document an increase in deviations from short-term covered interest rate parity (CIP) in the first half of 2015. Since the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) decision to abandon its minimum exchange rate policy, both the magnitude and volatility of deviations from CIP have increased across several currency pairs. The effect is particularly pronounced for pairs involving the Swiss franc. -
January 7, 2016
Life After Liftoff: Divergence and U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization
Governor Poloz talks about the global commodity price shock and how it is leading to economic and financial divergence. -
Tractable Term Structure Models
We introduce a new framework that facilitates term structure modeling with both positive interest rates and flexible time-series dynamics but that is also tractable, meaning amenable to quick and robust estimation. -
Foreign Flows and Their Effects on Government of Canada Yields
Foreign investment flows into Government of Canada (GoC) bonds have surged since the financial crisis. Our empirical analysis suggests that foreign flows of $150 billion lowered the 10-year GoC bond yield by 100 basis points between 2009 and 2012. -
Domestic and Multilateral Effects of Capital Controls in Emerging Markets
Using a novel data set on capital control actions in 17 emerging-market economies (EMEs) over the period 2001–11, we provide new evidence on domestic and multilateral (or spillover) effects of capital controls. -
June 25, 2015
Building Trust, Not Walls: The Case for Cross-Border Financial Integration
Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the need to address cross-border obstacles to greater financial integration. -
June 8, 2015
Panel remarks for round table discussion at the 21st Conference of Montréal
Introduction Thank you for the invitation to be here today. I’m honoured to be part of this panel. It’s been more than seven years since the global financial crisis began, and we’re still coping with its aftermath. One of the consequences of the crisis has been a disruption of financial globalization. Global capital flows—to give […]