Short-Run and Long-Run News: Evidence from Giant Commodity Discoveries Staff Working Paper 2025-24 Jean-Paul L’Huillier, Kirill Shakhnov, Laure Simon Our understanding of news shocks is, to a large extent, based on studies that focus empirically on short-run news. This paper brings new insights by analyzing the effects of giant commodity discoveries, which typically materialize over the longer run. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, International topics JEL Code(s): E, E2, E23, F, F3, F4, Q, Q3, Q33
September 3, 2025 What is a flexible exchange rate? Canada has a flexible exchange rate. The value of our dollar is not fixed to the value of any other currency or to a precious metal such as gold. Content Type(s): Explainers Research Topic(s): International topics
August 26, 2025 Inflation targeting: A framework for today and tomorrow Speech summary Tiff Macklem Bank of Mexico 100ᵗʰ Anniversary Seminar Mexico City, Mexico Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how inflation targeting became a leading strategy among central banks for maintaining price stability. He also talks about structural change ahead, shifts in global trade and ensuring monetary policy is fit for the future. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Credibility, Economic models, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Price stability
August 26, 2025 Flexible inflation targeting in a shock-prone world Remarks Tiff Macklem Bank of Mexico 100ᵗʰ Anniversary Seminar Mexico City, Mexico Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how inflation targeting became a leading strategy for maintaining price stability and how the Bank of Canada is ensuring its monetary policy framework is fit for future challenges. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Credibility, Economic models, Inflation targets, International topics, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Monetary policy framework, Price stability
August 14, 2025 The difference between a trade surplus and a trade deficit A trade surplus and a trade deficit are both measures of a country’s balance of trade. They are a calculation of whether a country exports or imports more. Content Type(s): Explainers Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International topics
July 17, 2025 How economic uncertainty disrupts investment Business investment plays a pivotal role in economic growth. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Research Topic(s): Expectations, International topics, Price stability, Productivity, Trade integration
Assessing tariff pass-through to consumer prices in Canada: Lessons from 2018 Staff Analytical Note 2025-18 Alexander Lam US trade protectionism is making the economic outlook increasingly uncertain. To assess how consumer prices may respond to tariffs, we examine a tariff episode from 2018 using detailed microdata and the synthetic control method. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, International topics, Recent economic and financial developments, Trade integration JEL Code(s): E, E3, E30, E31, F, F1, F10, F13, F14
June 18, 2025 The impact of US trade policy on jobs and inflation in Canada Remarks Tiff Macklem St. John’s Board of Trade St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how the trade conflict with the United States has affected the Canadian economy. He explains that restoring open trade is critical for jobs and growth, and important for prices and inflation. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Expectations, Inflation and prices, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments, Trade integration
June 18, 2025 Trade, jobs and inflation Speech summary Tiff Macklem St. John’s Board of Trade St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador Governor Tiff Macklem discusses the trade conflict with the United States and how it is has affected the Canadian economy. He explains that restoring open trade is important for jobs, growth and price stability in Canada. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Research Topic(s): Expectations, Inflation and prices, International topics, Labour markets, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments, Regional economic developments, Trade integration
June 11, 2025 What is a tariff? A tariff is a tax on imports from another country. It can increase the prices consumers and businesses pay for that good. Content Type(s): Explainers Research Topic(s): Credibility, Expectations, Inflation and prices, International topics