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235 Results

Managing GDP Tail Risk

Staff Working Paper 2020-3 Thibaut Duprey, Alexander Ueberfeldt
Models for macroeconomic forecasts do not usually take into account the risk of a crisis—that is, a sudden large decline in gross domestic product (GDP). However, policy-makers worry about such GDP tail risk because of its large social and economic costs.
December 12, 2019

The Bank of Canada’s plans for 2020

Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz Empire Club of Canada Toronto, Ontario
In his traditional year-end speech, Governor Stephen S. Poloz described some of the long-term forces affecting the global and Canadian economies that will shape the Bank’s work in 2020.

Technological Progress and Monetary Policy: Managing the Fourth Industrial Revolution

Staff Discussion Paper 2019-11 Stephen S. Poloz
This paper looks at the implications for monetary policy of the widespread adoption of artificial intelligence and machine learning, which is sometimes called the “fourth industrial revolution.”
September 5, 2019

Economic Progress Report: Inflation in Canada—Well Behaved and Well Controlled

Remarks Lawrence L. Schembri Halifax Regional Chamber of Commerce Halifax, Nova Scotia
Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and the behaviour of inflation in Canada.
September 5, 2019

Canadian economy resilient even as global outlook worsens

Speech summary Lawrence L. Schembri Halifax Chamber of Commerce Halifax, Nova Scotia
Speaking a day after we decided to hold interest rates steady, Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discussed the key points Governing Council considered in their decision.
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