January 24, 2022 Operational details for upcoming secondary market purchases of Government of Canada securities (January 31-February 11) As previously announced, the Bank of Canada (the Bank) launched on April 1, 2020 a program to purchase Government of Canada securities in the secondary market – the Government Bond Purchase Program (GBPP). Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Government of Canada Bond Purchase Program
January 18, 2022 CARR Meeting (January 18, 2022) Content Type(s): Meetings Source(s): Canadian Alternative Reference Rate Working Group
January 17, 2022 Business Outlook Survey―Fourth Quarter of 2021 In the fourth-quarter Business Outlook Survey, reports of supply chain bottlenecks and labour shortages remain elevated. Firms cited robust growth in demand, although those offering hard-to-distance services still had sales below pre-pandemic levels, even before the Omicron variant began spreading broadly. These factors are resulting in upward pressures on prices over the next year. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
January 17, 2022 Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Fourth Quarter of 2021 This survey took place in November 2021 before the Omicron variant of COVID-19 began spreading broadly in Canada. In December, the number of COVID-19 cases rose dramatically and governments began to reimpose containment measures. Many Canadians think inflation will be high over the next two years because of supply disruptions caused by the pandemic. They are more concerned about inflation now than they were before the pandemic and believe it has become more difficult to control. However, near-term inflation expectations are not feeding into expectations for wage growth or longer-term inflation. Showing confidence in the labour market, workers are more likely than ever to want to change jobs. Content Type(s): Publications, Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations
The Financial Origins of Non-fundamental Risk Staff Working Paper 2022-4 Sushant Acharya, Keshav Dogra, Sanjay Singh We explore the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk to the rest of the economy. We also consider whether policy can be used to reduce this risk—either by increasing the supply of publicly backed safe assets or by reducing the demand for safe assets. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Topic(s): Asset pricing, Financial markets, Financial stability JEL Code(s): D, D5, D52, D8, D84, E, E6, E62, G, G1, G10, G12
January 14, 2022 Bank of Canada/OSFI pilot helps Canadian financial sector assess climate change risks Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada and Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions today released the results of a pilot project on climate scenario analysis. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases Topic(s): Climate change
January 14, 2022 Assessing climate change risks to our financial system Ensuring the stability and efficiency of the financial system is a key part of our work at the Bank of Canada. This includes analyzing structural changes that affect the economy—like climate change. These changes could increase vulnerabilities to the financial system. Content Type(s): Publications, Financial System Hub articles
January 14, 2022 Using Scenario Analysis to Assess Climate Transition Risk Final Report of the BoC-OSFI Climate Scenario Analysis Pilot
Assessing Climate-Related Financial Risk: Guide to Implementation of Methods Technical Report No. 120 Hossein Hosseini, Craig Johnston, Craig Logan, Miguel Molico, Xiangjin Shen, Marie-Christine Tremblay A pilot project on climate transition scenarios by the Bank of Canada and the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions assessed climate-related credit and market risks. This report describes the project’s methodologies and provides guidance on implementing them. Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Climate change, Credit and credit aggregates, Econometric and statistical methods, Financial stability JEL Code(s): C, C5, C53, C8, C83, G, G1, G3, G32