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176 Results

How to Predict Financial Stress? An Assessment of Markov Switching Models

Staff Working Paper 2017-32 Benjamin Klaus, Thibaut Duprey
This paper predicts phases of the financial cycle by using a continuous financial stress measure in a Markov switching framework. The debt service ratio and property market variables signal a transition to a high financial stress regime, while economic sentiment indicators provide signals for a transition to a tranquil state.

Fintech: Is This Time Different? A Framework for Assessing Risks and Opportunities for Central Banks

Staff Discussion Paper 2017-10 Meyer Aaron, Francisco Rivadeneyra, Samantha Sohal
We investigate the risks and opportunities to the mandates of central banks arising from fintech developments.

Adoption of a New Payment Method: Theory and Experimental Evidence

Staff Working Paper 2017-28 Jasmina Arifovic, John Duffy, Janet Hua Jiang
We model the introduction of a new payment method, e.g., e-money, that competes with an existing payment method, e.g., cash. The new payment method involves relatively lower per-transaction costs for both buyers and sellers, but sellers must pay a fixed fee to accept the new payment method.

The Bank of Canada 2015 Retailer Survey on the Cost of Payment Methods: Nonresponse

Technical Report No. 107 Stan Hatko
Nonresponse is a considerable challenge in the Retailer Survey on the Cost of Payment Methods conducted by the Bank of Canada in 2015. There are two types of nonresponse in this survey: unit nonresponse, in which a business does not reply to the entire survey, and item nonresponse, in which a business does not respond to particular questions within the survey.
Content Type(s): Staff research, Technical reports Topic(s): Central bank research JEL Code(s): C, C8, C81, C83
March 2, 2017

Thermometer Rising—Climate Change and Canada’s Economic Future

Remarks Timothy Lane Finance and Sustainability Initiative Montréal, Quebec
Deputy Governor Tim Lane discusses the implications of climate change—and actions to address it—for Canada’s economy and financial system.
January 31, 2017

Models and the Art and Science of Making Monetary Policy

Remarks Stephen S. Poloz University of Alberta School of Business Edmonton, Alberta
Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses the evolution of economic models and the need for central bankers to apply judgment in using them.

Comparing Forward Guidance and Neo-Fisherianism as Strategies for Escaping Liquidity Traps

Staff Analytical Note 2016-16 Robert Amano, Thomas J. Carter, Rhys R. Mendes
What path should policy-makers select for the nominal rate when faced with a liquidity trap during which the effective lower bound binds?
November 28, 2016

From Hewers of Wood to Hewers of Code: Canada’s Expanding Service Economy

Remarks Stephen S. Poloz C.D. Howe Institute Toronto, Ontario
Governor Stephen S. Poloz discusses how growth in Canada’s service sector is leading to high-paying jobs and helping complete the economic recovery.
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