Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities Staff working paper 2018-4 Lutz Kilian, Xiaoqing Zhou It is widely understood that the real price of globally traded commodities is determined by the forces of demand and supply. One of the main determinants of the real price of commodities is shifts in the demand for commodities associated with unexpected fluctuations in global real economic activity. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): F, F4, F44, Q, Q1, Q11, Q3, Q31, Q4, Q41, Q43 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, International trade, finance and competitiveness
January 20, 2016 Monetary Policy Report – January 2016 Growth in Canada’s economy is expected to reach 1.4 per cent this year and accelerate to 2.4 per cent in 2017. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
March 10, 2004 Adjusting to Global Economic Change Remarks David Dodge Brazil-Canada Chamber of Commerce São Paulo, Brazil Today, I want to focus my remarks on Canada's adjustment to changes in the global economy. I will talk about our efforts to adjust to longer-term economic forces and about the challenges that these forces present. Some of our experiences may be relevant to other economies that are making similar adjustments in the face of similar economic circumstances. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
Ecosystem Models for a Central Bank Digital Currency: Analysis Framework and Potential Models Staff discussion paper 2024-13 Youming Liu, Francisco Rivadeneyra, Edona Reshidi, Oleksandr Shcherbakov, André Stenzel This note analyzes different economic models of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) ecosystem where the central bank chooses different levels of market involvement and usage of policy levers. The analysis suggests that there are trade-offs between the costs to the central bank and its ability to achieve policy goals like universal access. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): E, E5, E58, E6, E61, L, L5 Research Theme(s): Money and payments, Digital assets and fintech, Payment and financial market infrastructures
October 21, 2004 Monetary Policy Report – October 2004 The Canadian economy continues to adjust to major global developments. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
July 24, 2024 Monetary Policy Report—July 2024 Monetary policy is working to reduce price pressures in the Canadian economy. Core inflation is expected to ease gradually, while the path of CPI inflation will be bumpy. Inflation returns sustainably to the 2% target in the second half of 2025. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
January 25, 2023 Monetary Policy Report – January 2023 Inflation in Canada is still too high but has declined from its peak. As the effects of higher interest rates continue to spread through the economy, and with declines in energy prices and improved supply chains, inflation is projected to fall to around 3% in the middle of 2023 and reach the 2% target in 2024. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
June 8, 2017 Financial System Review - June 2017 This issue of the Financial System Review reflects the Bank’s judgment that household indebtedness and housing market imbalances–the most important vulnerabilities for the Canadian financial system–have moved higher over the past six months. However, the financial system remains resilient, and macroeconomic conditions continue to improve. Other vulnerabilities discussed in this FSR are fragile fixed-income market liquidity and the capacity of an interconnected financial system to mitigate cyber threats. Content Type(s): Publications, Financial Stability Report
January 23, 2004 Bank of Canada Review - Winter 2003-2004 Cover page Brass Cash Register, 1910 The register is part of the National Currency Collection, Bank of Canada. Photographed by Gord Carter, Ottawa. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
April 15, 2007 Renewing the International Monetary Fund: A Review of the Issues Bank of Canada Review - Spring 2007 Danielle Lecavalier, Eric Santor Given the rapid and ongoing integration of the global economy, the International Monetary Fund needs to renew its role, governance structure, and functions if it is to maintain its relevance as the institution charged with promoting global financial stability. Lecavalier and Santor examine the areas of possible reform, including quota, voice, and representation; internal governance; surveillance; lending instruments; finances; and the Fund's role in low-income countries. They also review current Bank of Canada research that supports these reform efforts, including an integrated framework for IMF surveillance recently developed at the Bank. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles