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January 11, 2010

Business Outlook Survey - Winter 2009-10

The results of the winter survey provide some evidence that confidence in the recovery is growing. While the balance of opinion on future sales is little changed, and respondents still expect the recovery to be gradual, more firms are planning to increase investment spending and employment than in the previous two surveys.

Central Bank Digital Currencies: A Framework for Assessing Why and How

Staff discussion paper 2016-22 Ben Fung, Hanna Halaburda
Digital currencies have attracted strong interest in recent years and have the potential to become widely adopted for use in making payments. Public authorities and central banks around the world are closely monitoring developments in digital currencies and studying their implications for the economy, the financial system and central banks.
May 19, 2002

Private Capital Flows to Emerging-Market Economies

This article explores the evolution of capital flows to emerging markets over the last 30 years with emphasis on the past decade. Capital markets in emerging-market economies have evolved substantially over the period, becoming increasingly deep and resilient. The author looks at how capital flows to these countries have changed in terms of magnitude, geographical distribution, the financial instruments used, and the country of origin. He also examines how changes in the investor base have affected these flows and reviews the factors underlying the growth of private capital flows in the 1990s.

Benchmarks for assessing labour market health: 2024 update

Staff analytical note 2024-8 Erik Ens, Alexander Lam, Kurt See, Gabriela Galassi
We assess the health of the Canadian labour market. We find that it has seen gradual but material easing since 2023, amid some signs of structural changes.

Evaluating the Effects of Forward Guidance and Large-scale Asset Purchases

Staff working paper 2021-54 Xu Zhang
I propose a novel method to identify and estimate the macroeconomic effects of forward guidance and large-scale asset purchases (LSAP) for each FOMC announcement. I find that LSAP is more important than forward guidance in influencing output and inflation. LSAP puts upward pressure on short-term yields, so it should always be used in conjunction with forward guidance.
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