Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1295
result(s)
How Changes in Oil Prices Affect the Macroeconomy
Staff Working Paper 2009-33
Brian DePratto,
Carlos De Resende,
Philipp Maier
We estimate a New Keynesian general-equilibrium open economy model to examine how changes in oil prices affect the macroeconomy. Our model allows oil price changes to be transmitted through temporary demand and supply channels (affecting the output gap), as well as through persistent supply side effects (affecting trend growth).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Interest rates,
Monetary policy transmission,
Potential output,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
F,
F4,
F41,
Q,
Q4,
Q43
Optimal Monetary Policy during Endogenous Housing-Market Boom-Bust Cycles
Staff Working Paper 2009-32
Hajime Tomura
This paper uses a small-open economy model for the Canadian economy to examine the optimal Taylor-type monetary policy rule that stabilizes output and inflation in an environment where endogenous boom-bust cycles in house prices can occur.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Inflation targets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52
Real Time Detection of Structural Breaks in GARCH Models
Staff Working Paper 2009-31
Zhongfang He,
John M. Maheu
A sequential Monte Carlo method for estimating GARCH models subject to an unknown number of structural breaks is proposed. Particle filtering techniques allow for fast and efficient updates of posterior quantities and forecasts in real time.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial markets
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C11,
C15,
C2,
C22,
C5,
C53
Cross-border Mergers and Hollowing-out
Staff Working Paper 2009-30
Oana Secrieru,
Marianne Vigneault
The purpose of our paper is to examine the profitability and social desirability of both domestic and foreign mergers in a location-quantity competition model, where we allow for the possibility of hollowing-out of the target firm. We refer to hollowing-out as the situation where the target firm is shut down following a merger with a domestic or foreign acquirer.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
International topics,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
D,
D4,
D43,
G,
G3,
G34,
L,
L1,
L13,
L4,
L41
Exchange Rate Pass-through and Monetary Policy: How Strong is the Link?
Staff Working Paper 2009-29
Stephen Murchison
Several authors have presented reduced-form evidence suggesting that the degree of exchange rate pass-through to the consumer price index has declined in Canada since the early 1980s and is currently close to zero.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E52,
F,
F3,
F31,
F4,
F41
Bond Liquidity Premia
Staff Working Paper 2009-28
Jean-Sébastien Fontaine,
René Garcia
Recent asset pricing models of limits to arbitrage emphasize the role of funding conditions faced by financial intermediaries. In the US, the repo market is the key funding market. Then, the premium of on-the-run U.S. Treasury bonds should share a common component with risk premia in other markets.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
H,
H1,
H12
Risk Premium Shocks and the Zero Bound on Nominal Interest Rates
Staff Working Paper 2009-27
Robert Amano,
Malik Shukayev
There appears to be a disconnect between the importance of the zero bound on nominal interest rates in the real-world and predictions from quantitative DSGE models. Recent economic events have reinforced the relevance of the zero bound for monetary policy whereas quantitative models suggest that the zero bound does not constrain (optimal) monetary policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E5,
E52
Consumption, Housing Collateral, and the Canadian Business Cycle
Staff Working Paper 2009-26
Ian Christensen,
Paul Corrigan,
Caterina Mendicino,
Shin-Ichi Nishiyama
Using Bayesian methods, we estimate a small open economy model in which consumers face limits to credit determined by the value of their housing stock. The purpose of this paper is to quantify the role of collateralized household debt in the Canadian business cycle.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Credit and credit aggregates,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E21,
E3,
E32,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52,
R,
R2,
R21
Credit Constraints and Consumer Spending
Staff Working Paper 2009-25
Kimberly Beaton
This paper examines the relationship between aggregate consumer spending and credit availability in the United States. The author finds that consumer spending falls (rises) in response to a reduction (increase) in credit availability.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Domestic demand and components,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E21,
E27,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E51,
E58