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172
result(s)
Limits to Arbitrage and Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity
Staff Discussion Paper 2016-4
James Pinnington,
Maral Shamloo
We document an increase in deviations from short-term covered interest rate parity (CIP) in the first half of 2015. Since the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) decision to abandon its minimum exchange rate policy, both the magnitude and volatility of deviations from CIP have increased across several currency pairs. The effect is particularly pronounced for pairs involving the Swiss franc.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
International financial markets
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F31,
G,
G1,
G15
A New Measure of the Canadian Effective Exchange Rate
Staff Discussion Paper 2016-1
Russell Barnett,
Karyne B. Charbonneau,
Guillaume Poulin-Bellisle
Canada’s international competitiveness has received increasing attention in recent years as exports have fallen short of expectations and Canada has lost market share. This paper asks whether the Bank of Canada’s current effective exchange rate measure, the CERI, is still an accurate measure of Canada’s international competitiveness.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
F3,
F31
The Complex Adjustment of the Canadian Economy to Lower Commodity Prices
Staff Analytical Note 2016-1
Julien Champagne,
Nikita Perevalov,
Hope Pioro,
Dany Brouillette,
Andrew Agopsowicz
In this analytical note, we provide a comprehensive assessment of the complex structural adjustment facing the Canadian economy following the commodity price decline since mid-2014. We quantify separately the impacts coming from the commodity sector restructuring and the broader effect of significantly lower terms of trade.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Exchange rates,
Labour markets,
Potential output,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E17,
E2,
E27,
E5,
E52,
J,
J2,
Q,
Q0,
Q00
Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Labour Market Adjustments in Canadian Manufacturing Industries
Staff Working Paper 2015-45
Gabriel Bruneau,
Kevin Moran
We estimate the link between exchange rate fluctuations and the labour input of Canadian manufacturing industries. The analysis is based on a dynamic model of labour demand, and the econometric strategy employs a panel two-step approach for cointegrating regressions.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Exchange rate regimes,
Exchange rates,
Labour markets,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E24,
F,
F1,
F14,
F16,
F3,
F31,
F4,
F41,
J,
J2,
J23
An Update - Canadian Non-Energy Exports: Past Performance and Future Prospects
Staff Discussion Paper 2015-10
André Binette,
Daniel de Munnik,
Julie Melanson
In light of the fact that Canada was continuing to lose market share in the United States, Binette, de Munnik and Gouin-Bonenfant (2014) studied 31 Canadian non-energy export (NEX) categories to assess their individual performance.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Balance of payments and components,
Exchange rates,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
F10,
F14,
F4,
F43
Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices: Theory and Recent Evidence
Staff Discussion Paper 2015-9
Laurence Savoie-Chabot,
Mikael Khan
In an open economy such as Canada’s, exchange rate movements can have a material impact on consumer prices. This is particularly important in the current context, with the significant depreciation of the Canadian dollar vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar since late 2012.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E5,
E52,
F,
F3,
F31
Exchange Rate Pass-Through, Currency of Invoicing and Market Share
Staff Working Paper 2015-31
Michael Devereux,
Wei Dong,
Ben Tomlin
This paper investigates the impact of market structure on the joint determination of exchange rate pass-through and currency of invoicing in international trade. A novel feature of the study is the focus on market share of firms on both sides of the market—that is, exporting firms and importing firms.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Inflation and prices,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F4
A Wake-Up-Call Theory of Contagion
Staff Working Paper 2015-14
Christoph Bertsch,
Toni Ahnert
We propose a novel theory of financial contagion. We study global coordination games of regime change in two regions with an initially uncertain correlation of regional fundamentals.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Financial stability,
International financial markets
JEL Code(s):
D,
D8,
D82,
F,
F3,
G,
G0,
G01
Motivations for Capital Controls and Their Effectiveness
Staff Working Paper 2015-5
Radhika Pandey,
Gurnain Pasricha,
Ila Patnaik,
Ajay Shah
We assess the motivations for changing capital controls and their effectiveness in India, a country with extensive and long-standing controls. We focus on the controls on foreign borrowing that can, in principle, be motivated by macroprudential concerns.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rate regimes,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F32,
G,
G1,
G15,
G18