179
result(s)
Optimal Monetary Policy during Endogenous Housing-Market Boom-Bust Cycles
Staff Working Paper 2009-32
Hajime Tomura
This paper uses a small-open economy model for the Canadian economy to examine the optimal Taylor-type monetary policy rule that stabilizes output and inflation in an environment where endogenous boom-bust cycles in house prices can occur.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Inflation targets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52
Measures of Aggregate Credit Conditions and Their Potential Use by Central Banks
Staff Discussion Paper 2009-12
Alejandro García,
Andrei Prokopiw
Understanding the nature of credit risk has important implications for financial stability. Since authorities – notably, central banks – focus on risks that have systemic implications, it is crucial to develop ways to measure these risks.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Discussion Papers
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial markets,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G10,
G12,
G13
Bond Liquidity Premia
Staff Working Paper 2009-28
Jean-Sébastien Fontaine,
René Garcia
Recent asset pricing models of limits to arbitrage emphasize the role of funding conditions faced by financial intermediaries. In the US, the repo market is the key funding market. Then, the premium of on-the-run U.S. Treasury bonds should share a common component with risk premia in other markets.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
H,
H1,
H12
Household Debt, Assets, and Income in Canada: A Microdata Study
Staff Discussion Paper 2009-7
Césaire Meh,
Yaz Terajima,
David Xiao Chen,
Thomas J. Carter
The authors use microdata from the 1999 and 2005 Surveys of Financial Security to identify changes in household debt, and discuss their potential implications for monetary policy and financial stability. They document an increase in the debt-income ratio, which rose from 0.75 to 0.95, on average.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Discussion Papers
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Productivity,
Sectoral balance sheet
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E21,
E24
Simulations du ratio du service de la dette des consommateurs en utilisant des données micro
Staff Working Paper 2009-18
Ramdane Djoudad
The author constructs a formal analytic framework to simulate the impact of various economic shocks on the household debt-service ratio, using data from the Canadian Financial Monitor (CFM) survey.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C15,
C3,
C31,
D,
D1,
D14,
E,
E5,
E51
Heterogeneous Beliefs and Housing-Market Boom-Bust Cycles in a Small Open Economy
Staff Working Paper 2009-15
Hajime Tomura
This paper introduces heterogeneous beliefs among households in a small open economy model for the Canadian economy. The model suggests that simultaneous boom-bust cycles in house prices, output, investment, consumption and hours worked emerge when credit-constrained mortgage borrowers expect that future house prices will rise and this expectation is neither shared by savers nor realized ex-post.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Inflation targets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52
Testing for Financial Contagion with Applications to the Canadian Banking System
Staff Working Paper 2009-14
Fuchun Li
The author proposes a new test for financial contagion based on a non-parametric measure of the cross-market correlation. The test does not depend on the assumption that the data are drawn from a given probability distribution; therefore, it allows for maximal flexibility in fitting into the data.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C12,
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G15
Indebtedness and the Household Financial Health: An Examination of the Canadian Debt Service Ratio Distribution
Staff Working Paper 2008-46
Umar Faruqui
The household debt-to-disposable income ratio in Canada increased from 110 per cent in 1999 to 127 per cent in 2007. This increase has raised questions about the ability of households to service their increased debt if faced with a negative economic or socio-economic shock.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability,
Monetary and financial indicators
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
D11,
D14,
D3,
D39
Price Level Targeting in a Small Open Economy with Financial Frictions: Welfare Analysis
Staff Working Paper 2008-40
Ali Dib,
Caterina Mendicino,
Yahong Zhang
How important are the benefits of low price-level uncertainty? This paper explores the desirability of price-level path targeting in an estimated DSGE model fit to Canadian data. The policy implications are based on social welfare evaluations.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability,
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E32,
E5,
E52
The Role of Bank Capital in the Propagation of Shocks
Staff Working Paper 2008-36
Césaire Meh,
Kevin Moran
Recent events in financial markets have underlined the importance of analyzing the link between the financial health of banks and real economic activity. This paper contributes to this analysis by constructing a dynamic general equilibrium model in which the balance sheet of banks affects the propagation of shocks.
Content Type(s):
Staff Research,
Staff Working Papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial Institutions,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Transmission of monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52,
G,
G2,
G21