Research
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An Empirical Analysis of the Canadian Term Structure of Zero-Coupon Interest Rates
Zero-coupon interest rates are the fundamental building block of fixed-income mathematics, and as such have an extensive number of applications in both finance and economics. -
The Monetary Origins of Asymmetric Information in International Equity Markets
Existing studies using low-frequency data show that macroeconomic shocks contribute little to international stock market covariation. -
Une approche éclectique d'estimation du PIB potentiel pour le Royaume-Uni
The author describes results obtained by using a new methodology to estimate potential output for the United Kingdom. -
Modelling the Evolution of Credit Spreads in the United States
The authors use Jarrow and Turnbull's (1995) reduced-form methodology to model the evolution of the term structure of interest rates in the United States for different credit classes and different industries. -
The Transmission of World Shocks to Emerging-Market Countries: An Empirical Analysis
The first step in designing effective policies to stabilize an economy is to understand business cycles. No country is isolated from the world economy and external shocks are becoming increasingly important. -
Real Return Bonds, Inflation Expectations, and the Break-Even Inflation Rate
According to the Fisher hypothesis, the gap between Canadian nominal and Real Return Bond yields (or break-even inflation rate) should be a good measure of inflation expectations. -
International Equity Flows and Returns: A Quantitative Equilibrium Approach
The authors model trading by foreign and domestic investors in developed-country equity markets. -
Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Fiscal Shocks in a Small Open Economy
The author studies the macroeconomic consequences of discretionary changes in the fiscal policy instruments for Canada. -
Prévision et analyse de la production manufacturière au Canada : comparaison de modèles linéaires et non linéaires
In this paper, the author describes reduced-form linear and non-linear econometric models developed to forecast and analyze quarterly data on output growth in the Canadian manufacturing sector from 1981 to 2003.