Research
-
-
Estimating Settlement Risk and the Potential for Contagion in Canada's Automated Clearing Settlement System
Payments systems operate virtually unnoticed in our daily lives and yet are crucial to a wellfunctioning economy and financial system. -
Inflation Changes, Yield Spreads, and Threshold Effects
Using interest rate yield spreads to explain changes in inflation, we investigate whether such relationships can be modelled using two-regime threshold models. -
An Empirical Analysis of Dynamic Interrelationships Among Inflation, Inflation Uncertainty, Relative Price Dispersion, and Output Growth
Within a unified framework, the author conducts an empirical investigation of dynamic interrelationships among inflation, inflation uncertainty, relative price dispersion, and output growth. -
Oil-Price Shocks and Retail Energy Prices in Canada
The effects of global energy-price shocks on retail energy prices in Canada are examined. More specifically, the author looks at the response of the consumer price indexes for gasoline, heating oil, natural gas, and electricity in Canada to movements in world crude oil prices. -
The Performance and Robustness of Simple Monetary Policy Rules in Models of the Canadian Economy
In this report, we evaluate several simple monetary policy rules in twelve private and public sector models of the Canadian economy. Our results indicate that none of the simple policy rules we examined is robust to model uncertainty, in that no single rule performs well in all models. -
Alternative Public Spending Rules and Output Volatility
One of the central lessons learned from the Great Depression was that adjusting government spending each year to balance the budget increases the volatility of output. -
An Eclectic Approach to Estimating U.S. Potential GDP
The authors describe the principal results obtained from a new method applied to the estimation of potential U.S. GDP. -
The Impact of Common Currencies on Financial Markets: A Literature Review and Evidence from the Euro Area
This paper reviews both the theoretical and empirical literature on the impact of common currencies on financial markets and evaluates the first three years of experience with Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). -
How Do Canadian Banks That Deal in Foreign Exchange Hedge Their Exposure to Risk?
This paper examines the daily hedging and risk-management practices of financial intermediaries in the Canadian foreign exchange (FX) market.